Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sean Casten's commanding trader consensus at 92% in the IL-06 House race stems from his dominant March 17 primary victory (76% over challenger Joey Ruzevich), massive fundraising edge ($1.8 million raised, $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March versus Republican Niki Conforti's under $120,000), and the district's Solid Democratic rating across forecasters (Cook PVI D+3). This rematch follows Casten's 2024 general election win over Conforti by 8 points (54%-46%), consistent with prior margins amid suburban Chicago demographics favoring Democrats. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days. While unlikely, a Republican national midterm wave, Casten scandal, or Conforti fundraising surge could shift odds before early voting begins September 24.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-06 House Election Winner
IL-06 House Election Winner
$25,407 ปริมาณ
$25,407 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
5%
$25,407 ปริมาณ
$25,407 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,301 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$16,106 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sean Casten's commanding trader consensus at 92% in the IL-06 House race stems from his dominant March 17 primary victory (76% over challenger Joey Ruzevich), massive fundraising edge ($1.8 million raised, $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March versus Republican Niki Conforti's under $120,000), and the district's Solid Democratic rating across forecasters (Cook PVI D+3). This rematch follows Casten's 2024 general election win over Conforti by 8 points (54%-46%), consistent with prior margins amid suburban Chicago demographics favoring Democrats. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days. While unlikely, a Republican national midterm wave, Casten scandal, or Conforti fundraising surge could shift odds before early voting begins September 24.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,407วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sean Casten's commanding trader consensus at 92% in the IL-06 House race stems from his dominant March 17 primary victory (76% over challenger Joey Ruzevich), massive fundraising edge ($1.8 million raised, $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March versus Republican Niki Conforti's under $120,000), and the district's Solid Democratic rating across forecasters (Cook PVI D+3). This rematch follows Casten's 2024 general election win over Conforti by 8 points (54%-46%), consistent with prior margins amid suburban Chicago demographics favoring Democrats. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days. While unlikely, a Republican national midterm wave, Casten scandal, or Conforti fundraising surge could shift odds before early voting begins September 24.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,407วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sean Casten's commanding trader consensus at 92% in the IL-06 House race stems from his dominant March 17 primary victory (76% over challenger Joey Ruzevich), massive fundraising edge ($1.8 million raised, $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March versus Republican Niki Conforti's under $120,000), and the district's Solid Democratic rating across forecasters (Cook PVI D+3). This rematch follows Casten's 2024 general election win over Conforti by 8 points (54%-46%), consistent with prior margins amid suburban Chicago demographics favoring Democrats. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days. While unlikely, a Republican national midterm wave, Casten scandal, or Conforti fundraising surge could shift odds before early voting begins September 24.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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