California's 4th congressional district, rated solidly Democratic with a D+17 partisan voter index, features longtime incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection after advancing from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Thompson's established fundraising, name recognition, and committee roles on Ways and Means have sustained strong support in a district encompassing Napa, Sonoma, and surrounding areas with consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting. The Republican nominee from the primary faces structural barriers in voter registration and turnout patterns that have kept similar seats in Democratic hands. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal development could still shift the general election outcome on November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-04 House Election Winner
CA-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,125 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$2,527 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 4th congressional district, rated solidly Democratic with a D+17 partisan voter index, features longtime incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection after advancing from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Thompson's established fundraising, name recognition, and committee roles on Ways and Means have sustained strong support in a district encompassing Napa, Sonoma, and surrounding areas with consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting. The Republican nominee from the primary faces structural barriers in voter registration and turnout patterns that have kept similar seats in Democratic hands. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal development could still shift the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,652วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 4th congressional district, rated solidly Democratic with a D+17 partisan voter index, features longtime incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection after advancing from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Thompson's established fundraising, name recognition, and committee roles on Ways and Means have sustained strong support in a district encompassing Napa, Sonoma, and surrounding areas with consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting. The Republican nominee from the primary faces structural barriers in voter registration and turnout patterns that have kept similar seats in Democratic hands. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal development could still shift the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,652วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 4th congressional district, rated solidly Democratic with a D+17 partisan voter index, features longtime incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection after advancing from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Thompson's established fundraising, name recognition, and committee roles on Ways and Means have sustained strong support in a district encompassing Napa, Sonoma, and surrounding areas with consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting. The Republican nominee from the primary faces structural barriers in voter registration and turnout patterns that have kept similar seats in Democratic hands. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or late legal development could still shift the general election outcome on November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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