Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94.5¢ in the CA-52 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's commanding position in this D+13 district, where he won 66% in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration advantages and Latino turnout trends favoring Democrats. The June 2 top-two primary features minimal opposition—Vargas faces token Democratic challengers Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Frances Motiwalla alongside underfunded Republican Jeff Belle ($275 raised)—ensuring likely advancement without contest. No recent polling or catalysts have shifted dynamics, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid/Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Upsets would require a major Vargas scandal, surprise GOP heavyweight recruitment, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-52 House Election Winner
CA-52 House Election Winner
$39,008 ปริมาณ
$39,008 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$39,008 ปริมาณ
$39,008 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,679 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$10,328 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94.5¢ in the CA-52 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's commanding position in this D+13 district, where he won 66% in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration advantages and Latino turnout trends favoring Democrats. The June 2 top-two primary features minimal opposition—Vargas faces token Democratic challengers Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Frances Motiwalla alongside underfunded Republican Jeff Belle ($275 raised)—ensuring likely advancement without contest. No recent polling or catalysts have shifted dynamics, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid/Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Upsets would require a major Vargas scandal, surprise GOP heavyweight recruitment, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,008วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94.5¢ in the CA-52 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's commanding position in this D+13 district, where he won 66% in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration advantages and Latino turnout trends favoring Democrats. The June 2 top-two primary features minimal opposition—Vargas faces token Democratic challengers Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Frances Motiwalla alongside underfunded Republican Jeff Belle ($275 raised)—ensuring likely advancement without contest. No recent polling or catalysts have shifted dynamics, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid/Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Upsets would require a major Vargas scandal, surprise GOP heavyweight recruitment, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,008วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94.5¢ in the CA-52 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's commanding position in this D+13 district, where he won 66% in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration advantages and Latino turnout trends favoring Democrats. The June 2 top-two primary features minimal opposition—Vargas faces token Democratic challengers Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Frances Motiwalla alongside underfunded Republican Jeff Belle ($275 raised)—ensuring likely advancement without contest. No recent polling or catalysts have shifted dynamics, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid/Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Upsets would require a major Vargas scandal, surprise GOP heavyweight recruitment, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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