Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th Congressional District, a deep blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Recent filing deadlines confirmed a weak Republican field lacking high-profile challengers, reinforcing DeSaulnier's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge in a district where Democrats consistently dominate turnout and margins. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic. While late-breaking events like a primary upset, personal scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge the outcome, structural barriers remain high given historical precedents in safe Democratic seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,471 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$3,313 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th Congressional District, a deep blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Recent filing deadlines confirmed a weak Republican field lacking high-profile challengers, reinforcing DeSaulnier's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge in a district where Democrats consistently dominate turnout and margins. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic. While late-breaking events like a primary upset, personal scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge the outcome, structural barriers remain high given historical precedents in safe Democratic seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,784วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th Congressional District, a deep blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Recent filing deadlines confirmed a weak Republican field lacking high-profile challengers, reinforcing DeSaulnier's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge in a district where Democrats consistently dominate turnout and margins. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic. While late-breaking events like a primary upset, personal scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge the outcome, structural barriers remain high given historical precedents in safe Democratic seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,784วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th Congressional District, a deep blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Recent filing deadlines confirmed a weak Republican field lacking high-profile challengers, reinforcing DeSaulnier's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge in a district where Democrats consistently dominate turnout and margins. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic. While late-breaking events like a primary upset, personal scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge the outcome, structural barriers remain high given historical precedents in safe Democratic seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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