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Ukraine predictions & odds

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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

11%

$298K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

91%

No meeting by June 30

$6M Vol.

$195K Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

$2M Vol.

$152K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

51

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

59

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

37%

$468K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

75%

No meeting before 2027

$2M Vol.

$154K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

6%

$188K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

74%

December 31

$98.3K Vol.

$69.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

1%

June 30

$423K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by...?

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by...?

29%

May 31

$44.2K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 19 days

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

53%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

95

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by...?

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by...?

35%

May 31

$60.3K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by...?

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by...?

47%

May 31

$139K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

34

Ends in 19 days

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

6%

$262K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

10

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

22%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

8%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$64.3K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

9%

Druzkhivka

$1M Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?

34%

June 30

$138K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 19 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ukraine.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Ukraine that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will Trump and Putin meet next?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will Trump and Putin meet next?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to No meeting by June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ukraine predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.