Market icon

Кто первым покинет кабинет Трампа?

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Стивен Миран 100.0%

Джей Ди Ванс <1%

Скотт Бессент <1%

Пэм Бонди <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 Объем

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Объем
$3,208,268
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Дата создания
Dec 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

Кто первым покинет кабинет Трампа?

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Стивен Миран 100.0%

Джей Ди Ванс <1%

Скотт Бессент <1%

Пэм Бонди <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 Объем

Джей Ди Ванс

$110,819 Объем

Нет

Скотт Бессент

$61,829 Объем

Нет

Пэм Бонди

$450,324 Объем

Нет

Брук Роллинс

$45,287 Объем

Нет

Лори Чавез-ДеРемер

$131,650 Объем

Нет

Скотт Тёрнер

$137,970 Объем

Нет

Крис Райт

$49,351 Объем

Нет

Дуг Коллинз

$134,704 Объем

Нет

Ли Зельдин

$85,056 Объем

Нет

Тулси Габбард

$82,861 Объем

Нет

Джон Рэтклифф

$144,150 Объем

Нет

Майк Уолтц

$67,347 Объем

Нет

Келли Леффлер

$77,870 Объем

Нет

Никто до 2027 года

$209,248 Объем

Нет

Марко Рубио

$114,485 Объем

Нет

Пит Хегсетх

$156,483 Объем

Нет

Даг Бургум

$145,164 Объем

Нет

Ховард Лютник

$142,348 Объем

Нет

Роберт Ф. Кеннеди-младший

$55,069 Объем

Нет

Шон Дафи

$101,115 Объем

Нет

Линда МакМэн

$52,725 Объем

Нет

Кристи Ноэм

$299,942 Объем

Нет

Сьюзи Уайлс

$66,208 Объем

Нет

Раселл Т. Ваутгт

$81,913 Объем

Нет

Jamieson Greer

$96,863 Объем

Нет

Стивен Миран

$107,487 Объем

Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.