Incumbent Republican Adrian Smith’s stronghold in Nebraska’s R+27 3rd Congressional District, where he has won general elections with over 78% since 2006, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent coverage highlights a crowded field—including GOP primary challenger David Huebner, Democrat Becky Lynn Stille, and independents Macey Budke and Mark Cohen—voicing rural discontent over tariffs, immigration, and farm costs, yet nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican (updated March 12) reflect minimal threat. The Nebraska Farm Bureau’s March 5 endorsement bolsters Smith. Potential shifts include a May 12 GOP primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, personal scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNE-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NE-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Adrian Smith’s stronghold in Nebraska’s R+27 3rd Congressional District, where he has won general elections with over 78% since 2006, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent coverage highlights a crowded field—including GOP primary challenger David Huebner, Democrat Becky Lynn Stille, and independents Macey Budke and Mark Cohen—voicing rural discontent over tariffs, immigration, and farm costs, yet nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican (updated March 12) reflect minimal threat. The Nebraska Farm Bureau’s March 5 endorsement bolsters Smith. Potential shifts include a May 12 GOP primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, personal scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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