In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a Lehigh Valley toss-up rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report with an R+1 partisan lean, trader consensus prices Democrats at 55% to defeat Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie—who won narrowly in 2024 (50.4%-49.6%)—in the November 3 general election, reflecting midterm headwinds for the president's party and the district's battleground history. Mackenzie faces no serious Republican primary challenge on May 19, while a crowded Democratic primary features five candidates, including firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell. Recent late-March candidate field solidification underscores Democratic enthusiasm amid absent public polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоPA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
PA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
56%
Республиканская партия
35%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$3,114 Объем
56%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a Lehigh Valley toss-up rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report with an R+1 partisan lean, trader consensus prices Democrats at 55% to defeat Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie—who won narrowly in 2024 (50.4%-49.6%)—in the November 3 general election, reflecting midterm headwinds for the president's party and the district's battleground history. Mackenzie faces no serious Republican primary challenge on May 19, while a crowded Democratic primary features five candidates, including firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell. Recent late-March candidate field solidification underscores Democratic enthusiasm amid absent public polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Объем
$3,114Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a Lehigh Valley toss-up rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report with an R+1 partisan lean, trader consensus prices Democrats at 55% to defeat Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie—who won narrowly in 2024 (50.4%-49.6%)—in the November 3 general election, reflecting midterm headwinds for the president's party and the district's battleground history. Mackenzie faces no serious Republican primary challenge on May 19, while a crowded Democratic primary features five candidates, including firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell. Recent late-March candidate field solidification underscores Democratic enthusiasm amid absent public polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$3,114Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a Lehigh Valley toss-up rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report with an R+1 partisan lean, trader consensus prices Democrats at 55% to defeat Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie—who won narrowly in 2024 (50.4%-49.6%)—in the November 3 general election, reflecting midterm headwinds for the president's party and the district's battleground history. Mackenzie faces no serious Republican primary challenge on May 19, while a crowded Democratic primary features five candidates, including firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell. Recent late-March candidate field solidification underscores Democratic enthusiasm amid absent public polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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