Trader consensus favors Democrats at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's competitive 7th Congressional District, a toss-up rated seat (R+1 PVI) where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by just 1% in 2024 amid narrow Trump wins. Historical midterm losses for the president's party amplify vulnerability, bolstered by a robust Democratic primary field—firefighter Bob Brooks (Shapiro, Sanders endorsements), ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (top fundraiser at $612K cash-on-hand), ex-county executive Lamont McClure, and Casey aide Carol Obando-Derstine (Wild, EMILYs List-backed)—set after the March 10 filing deadline. No public district polls exist, but a recent state generic ballot shows Democrats up 7 points, with the May 19 closed primary poised to yield a unified challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоPA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
PA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
74%
Республиканская партия
25%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$3,140 Объем
74%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's competitive 7th Congressional District, a toss-up rated seat (R+1 PVI) where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by just 1% in 2024 amid narrow Trump wins. Historical midterm losses for the president's party amplify vulnerability, bolstered by a robust Democratic primary field—firefighter Bob Brooks (Shapiro, Sanders endorsements), ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (top fundraiser at $612K cash-on-hand), ex-county executive Lamont McClure, and Casey aide Carol Obando-Derstine (Wild, EMILYs List-backed)—set after the March 10 filing deadline. No public district polls exist, but a recent state generic ballot shows Democrats up 7 points, with the May 19 closed primary poised to yield a unified challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Объем
$3,140Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's competitive 7th Congressional District, a toss-up rated seat (R+1 PVI) where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by just 1% in 2024 amid narrow Trump wins. Historical midterm losses for the president's party amplify vulnerability, bolstered by a robust Democratic primary field—firefighter Bob Brooks (Shapiro, Sanders endorsements), ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (top fundraiser at $612K cash-on-hand), ex-county executive Lamont McClure, and Casey aide Carol Obando-Derstine (Wild, EMILYs List-backed)—set after the March 10 filing deadline. No public district polls exist, but a recent state generic ballot shows Democrats up 7 points, with the May 19 closed primary poised to yield a unified challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$3,140Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's competitive 7th Congressional District, a toss-up rated seat (R+1 PVI) where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by just 1% in 2024 amid narrow Trump wins. Historical midterm losses for the president's party amplify vulnerability, bolstered by a robust Democratic primary field—firefighter Bob Brooks (Shapiro, Sanders endorsements), ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (top fundraiser at $612K cash-on-hand), ex-county executive Lamont McClure, and Casey aide Carol Obando-Derstine (Wild, EMILYs List-backed)—set after the March 10 filing deadline. No public district polls exist, but a recent state generic ballot shows Democrats up 7 points, with the May 19 closed primary poised to yield a unified challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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