Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today at 79% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations of morning temperatures around 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s. These conditions cap diurnal heating, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converging on a narrow 11-12°C peak in early afternoon due to persistent cloud cover and a cool air mass. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but recent 24-hour model updates shifted cooler after overnight lows near 3°C at Gimpo International Airport, the market's resolution station. Watch KMA's 5 PM update for final hourly trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
11°C 77.2%
12°C 16%
13°C 3.4%
14°C 2.1%
$404,755 Объем
$404,755 Объем
10°C
<1%
11°C
77%
12°C
16%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 77.2%
12°C 16%
13°C 3.4%
14°C 2.1%
$404,755 Объем
$404,755 Объем
10°C
<1%
11°C
77%
12°C
16%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today at 79% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations of morning temperatures around 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s. These conditions cap diurnal heating, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converging on a narrow 11-12°C peak in early afternoon due to persistent cloud cover and a cool air mass. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but recent 24-hour model updates shifted cooler after overnight lows near 3°C at Gimpo International Airport, the market's resolution station. Watch KMA's 5 PM update for final hourly trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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