Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 48-51°F, driven by NOAA's latest Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on afternoon highs near 50°F under overcast skies from a persistent marine layer off Puget Sound. The razor-thin edge for 50-51°F (38.5%) over 48-49°F (37.5%) stems from subtle model divergences: slight southerly wind enhancements in European forecasts could erode coastal clouds for a 1-2°F boost, while American models emphasize thicker stratus decks capping warmth. Historical March data shows Seattle's diurnal range rarely exceeds 10°F this late in the season, muting upside risks beyond 52-53°F (14.1%), with traders pricing in low-volatility spring norms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 41%
48-49°F 40%
52-53°F 11.4%
46-47°F 7.1%
$49,783 Объем
$49,783 Объем
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
40%
50-51°F
41%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
1%
50-51°F 41%
48-49°F 40%
52-53°F 11.4%
46-47°F 7.1%
$49,783 Объем
$49,783 Объем
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
40%
50-51°F
41%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 48-51°F, driven by NOAA's latest Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on afternoon highs near 50°F under overcast skies from a persistent marine layer off Puget Sound. The razor-thin edge for 50-51°F (38.5%) over 48-49°F (37.5%) stems from subtle model divergences: slight southerly wind enhancements in European forecasts could erode coastal clouds for a 1-2°F boost, while American models emphasize thicker stratus decks capping warmth. Historical March data shows Seattle's diurnal range rarely exceeds 10°F this late in the season, muting upside risks beyond 52-53°F (14.1%), with traders pricing in low-volatility spring norms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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