Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 11°C at 42.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models converging on this outcome following yesterday's 12Z model runs. A persistent northerly airflow channeling cooler Atlantic air into northern France has suppressed temperatures, with ensemble guidance showing minimal daytime heating potential amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Recent observations from Paris airports confirm overnight lows near 5°C, aligning with diurnal maximums clustering 10–12°C, while historical late-March averages hover around 12°C but are outweighed by current synoptic patterns. Traders await tomorrow's forecast refresh, as any shift in upper-level ridging could nudge probabilities toward 12°C, though uncertainty remains high within 1–2°C margins typical of spring variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 43%
10°C 24%
12°C 18%
9°C 10%
$23,608 Объем
$23,608 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
10%
10°C
24%
11°C
43%
12°C
18%
13°C
4%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 43%
10°C 24%
12°C 18%
9°C 10%
$23,608 Объем
$23,608 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
10%
10°C
24%
11°C
43%
12°C
18%
13°C
4%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 11°C at 42.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models converging on this outcome following yesterday's 12Z model runs. A persistent northerly airflow channeling cooler Atlantic air into northern France has suppressed temperatures, with ensemble guidance showing minimal daytime heating potential amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Recent observations from Paris airports confirm overnight lows near 5°C, aligning with diurnal maximums clustering 10–12°C, while historical late-March averages hover around 12°C but are outweighed by current synoptic patterns. Traders await tomorrow's forecast refresh, as any shift in upper-level ridging could nudge probabilities toward 12°C, though uncertainty remains high within 1–2°C margins typical of spring variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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