National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature well above 66°F on March 26, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast ushering in warm southerly winds and advection of mild air masses from the Atlantic. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on daytime highs reaching 68-72°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning reflects confirmed upper-air patterns from recent soundings and minimal cooling influences, far exceeding late-March climatological averages around 52°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a late-afternoon cold front, though current guidance deems these low-probability scenarios; hourly updates from Central Park observatory will refine final outcomes by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on March 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 26?
66°F or higher 98.5%
64-65°F 1.3%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$153,965 Объем
$153,965 Объем
47°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
99%
66°F or higher 98.5%
64-65°F 1.3%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$153,965 Объем
$153,965 Объем
47°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature well above 66°F on March 26, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast ushering in warm southerly winds and advection of mild air masses from the Atlantic. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on daytime highs reaching 68-72°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning reflects confirmed upper-air patterns from recent soundings and minimal cooling influences, far exceeding late-March climatological averages around 52°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a late-afternoon cold front, though current guidance deems these low-probability scenarios; hourly updates from Central Park observatory will refine final outcomes by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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