Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Houston on March 25, reflecting near-unanimous agreement from the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast and ensemble model runs from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project a daytime high of 83°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and warm air advection. This positioning aligns with climatological norms for late March, where Houston averages mid-70s but sees occasional warm spikes from Gulf moisture. Realistic challenges include an unexpected increase in marine layer clouds or a subtle cold front nudge, potentially capping highs at 81°F or pushing to 84°F, though current soundings and satellite data show low likelihood before resolution via official observations at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on March 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 25?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
Mar 25, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
Mar 25, 2026
75°F or below
$0 Объем
No
76-77°F
$0 Объем
No
78-79°F
$0 Объем
No
80-81°F
$0 Объем
No
82-83°F
$0 Объем
Yes
84-85°F
$0 Объем
No
86-87°F
$0 Объем
No
88-89°F
$0 Объем
No
90-91°F
$0 Объем
No
92-93°F
$0 Объем
No
94°F or higher
$0 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Houston on March 25, reflecting near-unanimous agreement from the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast and ensemble model runs from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project a daytime high of 83°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and warm air advection. This positioning aligns with climatological norms for late March, where Houston averages mid-70s but sees occasional warm spikes from Gulf moisture. Realistic challenges include an unexpected increase in marine layer clouds or a subtle cold front nudge, potentially capping highs at 81°F or pushing to 84°F, though current soundings and satellite data show low likelihood before resolution via official observations at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Mar 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 21, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Houston on March 25, reflecting near-unanimous agreement from the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast and ensemble model runs from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project a daytime high of 83°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and warm air advection. This positioning aligns with climatological norms for late March, where Houston averages mid-70s but sees occasional warm spikes from Gulf moisture. Realistic challenges include an unexpected increase in marine layer clouds or a subtle cold front nudge, potentially capping highs at 81°F or pushing to 84°F, though current soundings and satellite data show low likelihood before resolution via official observations at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Mar 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 21, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Houston on March 25, reflecting near-unanimous agreement from the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast and ensemble model runs from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project a daytime high of 83°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and warm air advection. This positioning aligns with climatological norms for late March, where Houston averages mid-70s but sees occasional warm spikes from Gulf moisture. Realistic challenges include an unexpected increase in marine layer clouds or a subtle cold front nudge, potentially capping highs at 81°F or pushing to 84°F, though current soundings and satellite data show low likelihood before resolution via official observations at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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