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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?

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27°C 68%

28°C 24%

29°C 5.0%

30°C or higher 1.9%

Polymarket

$120,171 Объем

27°C 68%

28°C 24%

29°C 5.0%

30°C or higher 1.9%

Polymarket

$120,171 Объем

20°C or below

$13,105 Объем

<1%

21°C

$15,236 Объем

<1%

22°C

$13,922 Объем

<1%

23°C

$12,117 Объем

<1%

24°C

$14,008 Объем

<1%

25°C

$16,515 Объем

<1%

26°C

$11,791 Объем

<1%

27°C

$6,800 Объем

68%

28°C

$8,489 Объем

24%

29°C

$4,046 Объем

5%

30°C or higher

$4,234 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Midday observations from the Hong Kong Observatory on April 1 show air temperatures reaching 27°C by noon, already exceeding the morning 9-day forecast's projected maximum of 26°C under an easterly airstream fostering brighter periods and solar heating. This aligns with late March highs of 28°C and HKO's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June amid 2026's projected record warmth. Trader consensus, reflected in 51% implied probability for 27°C and 38% for 28°C, anticipates peak heating this afternoon before possible evening showers, with official highest temperatures tracked across regional stations; updated hourly data later today will refine outcomes as inherent forecast uncertainties play out.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$120,171
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Midday observations from the Hong Kong Observatory on April 1 show air temperatures reaching 27°C by noon, already exceeding the morning 9-day forecast's projected maximum of 26°C under an easterly airstream fostering brighter periods and solar heating. This aligns with late March highs of 28°C and HKO's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June amid 2026's projected record warmth. Trader consensus, reflected in 51% implied probability for 27°C and 38% for 28°C, anticipates peak heating this afternoon before possible evening showers, with official highest temperatures tracked across regional stations; updated hourly data later today will refine outcomes as inherent forecast uncertainties play out.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$120,171
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «27°C» с 68%, за ним следует «28°C» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 68¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $120.2K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» — «27°C» с 68%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Следующий ближайший исход — «28°C» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.