Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) on April 5, with implied probabilities highest for 19–22°C amid inherent uncertainty in 72-hour predictions. Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a consensus around 20°C, driven by persistent southerly winds moderating northerly warmth advection, partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, and typical autumn cooling after recent milder days. Model spread arises from varying depictions of a weakening high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic, potentially allowing cooler air intrusion; watch SMN's daily bulletins and next 12Z runs for refinements before resolution. Historical early-April highs average 21–22°C, aligning with current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 5 апреля?
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 20%
20°C 17%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C
12%
24°C или выше
8%
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 20%
20°C 17%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C
12%
24°C или выше
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) on April 5, with implied probabilities highest for 19–22°C amid inherent uncertainty in 72-hour predictions. Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a consensus around 20°C, driven by persistent southerly winds moderating northerly warmth advection, partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, and typical autumn cooling after recent milder days. Model spread arises from varying depictions of a weakening high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic, potentially allowing cooler air intrusion; watch SMN's daily bulletins and next 12Z runs for refinements before resolution. Historical early-April highs average 21–22°C, aligning with current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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