Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 85%
February 14 2.6%
February 11 2.5%
February 5 2.3%
$43,855 Объем
$43,855 Объем
February 1
$3,788 Объем
<1%
February 1
$3,788 Объем
<1%
February 2
$2,646 Объем
1%
February 2
$2,646 Объем
1%
February 3
$1,439 Объем
1%
February 3
$1,439 Объем
1%
February 4
$1,065 Объем
2%
February 4
$1,065 Объем
2%
February 5
$1,091 Объем
2%
February 5
$1,091 Объем
2%
February 6
$915 Объем
1%
February 6
$915 Объем
1%
February 7
$1,322 Объем
2%
February 7
$1,322 Объем
2%
February 8
$1,116 Объем
2%
February 8
$1,116 Объем
2%
February 9
$908 Объем
2%
February 9
$908 Объем
2%
February 10
$990 Объем
2%
February 10
$990 Объем
2%
February 11
$1,034 Объем
3%
February 11
$1,034 Объем
3%
February 12
$1,293 Объем
1%
February 12
$1,293 Объем
1%
February 13
$1,015 Объем
2%
February 13
$1,015 Объем
2%
February 14
$1,358 Объем
3%
February 14
$1,358 Объем
3%
No release by February 14
$10,147 Объем
85%
No release by February 14
$10,147 Объем
85%
Правила
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Создано: Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Результат предложен: No
Окно спора
Финальный
Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 85%
February 14 2.6%
February 11 2.5%
February 5 2.3%
$43,855 Объем
$43,855 Объем
February 1
<1%
February 2
1%
February 3
1%
February 4
2%
February 5
2%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
2%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
3%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
3%
No release by February 14
85%
О событии
Resolver
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