Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 85%
February 14 6.1%
February 9 2.4%
February 10 2.2%
$26,323 Объем
$26,323 Объем
Released before February 1
$2,949 Объем
1%
Released before February 1
$2,949 Объем
1%
February 1
$1,112 Объем
2%
February 1
$1,112 Объем
2%
February 2
$1,661 Объем
1%
February 2
$1,661 Объем
1%
February 3
$1,288 Объем
1%
February 3
$1,288 Объем
1%
February 4
$974 Объем
<1%
February 4
$974 Объем
<1%
February 5
$857 Объем
1%
February 5
$857 Объем
1%
February 6
$869 Объем
1%
February 6
$869 Объем
1%
February 7
$1,253 Объем
2%
February 7
$1,253 Объем
2%
February 8
$839 Объем
1%
February 8
$839 Объем
1%
February 9
$861 Объем
2%
February 9
$861 Объем
2%
February 10
$936 Объем
2%
February 10
$936 Объем
2%
February 11
$988 Объем
2%
February 11
$988 Объем
2%
February 12
$1,064 Объем
1%
February 12
$1,064 Объем
1%
February 13
$929 Объем
2%
February 13
$929 Объем
2%
February 14
$1,102 Объем
6%
February 14
$1,102 Объем
6%
No release by February 14
$8,640 Объем
85%
No release by February 14
$8,640 Объем
85%
Правила
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Создано: Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 85%
February 14 6.1%
February 9 2.4%
February 10 2.2%
$26,323 Объем
$26,323 Объем
Released before February 1
1%
February 1
2%
February 2
1%
February 3
1%
February 4
<1%
February 5
1%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
2%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
6%
No release by February 14
85%
О событии
Resolver
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