Market icon

Grok 4.20 выпущен на...?

Market icon

Grok 4.20 выпущен на...?

Ended: Feb 14

Ended: Feb 14

Не выпущен к 14 февраля 100.0%

Выпущено до 1 февраля <1%

1 февраля <1%

2 февраля <1%

Polymarket

$220,405 Объем

Не выпущен к 14 февраля 100.0%

Выпущено до 1 февраля <1%

1 февраля <1%

2 февраля <1%

Polymarket

$220,405 Объем

Выпущено до 1 февраля

$13,728 Объем

Нет

1 февраля

$3,788 Объем

Нет

2 февраля

$13,082 Объем

Нет

3 февраля

$14,376 Объем

Нет

4 февраля

$4,834 Объем

Нет

5 февраля

$11,529 Объем

Нет

6 февраля

$11,831 Объем

Нет

7 февраля

$20,318 Объем

Нет

8 февраля

$7,485 Объем

Нет

9 февраля

$9,898 Объем

Нет

10 февраля

$9,790 Объем

Нет

11 февраля

$6,528 Объем

Нет

12 февраля

$18,143 Объем

Нет

13 февраля

$18,673 Объем

Нет

14 февраля

$14,330 Объем

Нет

Не выпущен к 14 февраля

$42,071 Объем

Да

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$220,405
Дата окончания
Feb 14, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20 выпущен на...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Не выпущен к 14 февраля" at 100%, followed by "Выпущено до 1 февраля" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20 выпущен на...?" has generated $220.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20 выпущен на...?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20 выпущен на...?" is "Не выпущен к 14 февраля" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Выпущено до 1 февраля" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20 выпущен на...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.