Trader consensus for Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth centers on quarterly expansion of around 0.3-0.4%, aligned with ECB staff projections from March 19 showing 0.9% annual growth for 2026 amid steady disinflation and supportive monetary policy. Recent S&P Global flash PMIs underscore positive momentum, with March manufacturing at a 45-month high of 51.4—up from February's 50.8—and composite output at 51.9, reflecting resilient services and factory activity despite softening new orders. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, bolstered by stable unemployment near record lows. Key watchpoints include today's March flash CPI release and the Eurostat Q1 flash GDP estimate on April 30, which could shift rate cut expectations ahead of ECB meetings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРост ВВП еврозоны в 1 квартале 2026 года
Рост ВВП еврозоны в 1 квартале 2026 года
<0,5%
20%
0,5-0,8%
41%
0,9–1,2%
50%
1,3-1,6%
33%
1,7–2,0%
43%
2,1–2,4%
33%
2,5%+
42%
$3,661 Объем
<0,5%
20%
0,5-0,8%
41%
0,9–1,2%
50%
1,3-1,6%
33%
1,7–2,0%
43%
2,1–2,4%
33%
2,5%+
42%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth centers on quarterly expansion of around 0.3-0.4%, aligned with ECB staff projections from March 19 showing 0.9% annual growth for 2026 amid steady disinflation and supportive monetary policy. Recent S&P Global flash PMIs underscore positive momentum, with March manufacturing at a 45-month high of 51.4—up from February's 50.8—and composite output at 51.9, reflecting resilient services and factory activity despite softening new orders. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, bolstered by stable unemployment near record lows. Key watchpoints include today's March flash CPI release and the Eurostat Q1 flash GDP estimate on April 30, which could shift rate cut expectations ahead of ECB meetings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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