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Экономика·вознаграждения 10, 4.5, 50

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Market icon
Экономика·вознаграждения 10, 4.5, 50

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Apr 14

Apr 14

3.1–3.3% 67%

2.8–3.0% 19%

3.4–3.6% 9.1%

2.5–2.7% 7%

Polymarket

$11,915 Объем

3.1–3.3% 67%

2.8–3.0% 19%

3.4–3.6% 9.1%

2.5–2.7% 7%

Polymarket

$11,915 Объем

≤2.1%

$1,152 Объем

1%

2.2–2.4%

$771 Объем

3%

2.5–2.7%

$1,086 Объем

7%

2.8–3.0%

$1,307 Объем

19%

3.1–3.3%

$3,375 Объем

67%

3.4–3.6%

$1,381 Объем

9%

3.7%+

$2,843 Объем

2%

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, closely tracking economist forecasts from JPMorgan and others around 3.2%, amid President Milei's disinflationary reforms. February's 13.9% print extended the sharp slowdown from January's 20.6%, fueled by fiscal austerity delivering the government's first primary budget surplus in over a decade, subsidy rationalization, and a stable crawling peg exchange rate curbing imported inflation. Lower bins reflect optimism for policy continuity, while upside risks from food price volatility due to drought remain subdued at 11.4% combined. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, will resolve the market, with traders monitoring for confirmation of the trajectory toward single-digit monthly rates.

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.

Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$11,915
Дата окончания
Apr 14, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

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This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, closely tracking economist forecasts from JPMorgan and others around 3.2%, amid President Milei's disinflationary reforms. February's 13.9% print extended the sharp slowdown from January's 20.6%, fueled by fiscal austerity delivering the government's first primary budget surplus in over a decade, subsidy rationalization, and a stable crawling peg exchange rate curbing imported inflation. Lower bins reflect optimism for policy continuity, while upside risks from food price volatility due to drought remain subdued at 11.4% combined. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, will resolve the market, with traders monitoring for confirmation of the trajectory toward single-digit monthly rates.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, closely tracking economist forecasts from JPMorgan and others around 3.2%, amid President Milei's disinflationary reforms. February's 13.9% print extended the sharp slowdown from January's 20.6%, fueled by fiscal austerity delivering the government's first primary budget surplus in over a decade, subsidy rationalization, and a stable crawling peg exchange rate curbing imported inflation. Lower bins reflect optimism for policy continuity, while upside risks from food price volatility due to drought remain subdued at 11.4% combined. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, will resolve the market, with traders monitoring for confirmation of the trajectory toward single-digit monthly rates.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Argentina Monthly Inflation - March» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «3.1–3.3%» с 67%, за ним следует «2.8–3.0%» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 67¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Argentina Monthly Inflation - March» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.9K с момента запуска рынка Mar 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Argentina Monthly Inflation - March», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Argentina Monthly Inflation - March» — «3.1–3.3%» с 67%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Следующий ближайший исход — «2.8–3.0%» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Argentina Monthly Inflation - March» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.