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Eleitoral previsões e probabilidades

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UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$754K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

15

Ends há 5 meses

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

28%

$156K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

11

Ends em 8 meses

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

10

Ends em 5 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

15%

$65.5K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

32

Ends em 5 meses

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

43%

December 31

$575K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

7

Ends em 8 meses

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

3%

$98.7K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

34

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

84%

Morena

$1.4K Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$78M Vol.

$882K today

$6M Liq.

7,049

Ends em 5 meses

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

45%

Labour 0-5%

$0 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$97.1K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$392K Liq.

75

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

100%

70-75%

$261K Vol.

$60.9K Liq.

31

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

48%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

49%

Javier Milei

$67.7K Vol.

$120K Liq.

16

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

83%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$320K Vol.

$84.4K Liq.

104

Ends em 5 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

6%

$47.0K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

6

Ends em 15 dias

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$72M Vol.

$569K today

$6M Liq.

507

Ends em 12 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Eleitoral.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Eleitoral that lets you track or trade on predictions like “UK election called by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $738.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Eleitoral predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.