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15 De Agosto previsões e probabilidades

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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

87%

$11.2K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

98%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$221K Liq.

47

Ends em 8 meses

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

49%

160-179

$9.1K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

92%

Ritchie Torres

$30.2K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

33%

40-44

$1.4K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

NY-15 House Election Winner

NY-15 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$23.5K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

2%

Nuclear

$12M Vol.

$2M today

$674K Liq.

2,088

Ends há 2 dias

CA-15 House Election Winner

CA-15 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$114K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$593K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

38

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

10

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

44%

80-99

$7.2K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

PA-15 House Election Winner

PA-15 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$13.4K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

TX-15 House Election Winner

TX-15 House Election Winner

50%

Democratic Party

$2.2K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

OH-15 House Election Winner

OH-15 House Election Winner

73%

Republican Party

$4.4K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

19%

120-139

$1.9K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

71%

$39.4K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

IL-15 House Election Winner

IL-15 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$21.7K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

56%

Hong Wang

$523K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

FL-15 House Election Winner

FL-15 House Election Winner

83%

Republican Party

$6.6K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 15 De Agosto.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for 15 De Agosto that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Peng. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 15 De Agosto predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.