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icon for IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?
Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

icon for IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?
Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

$4,160,538 Vol.

15 jun 2026
Polymarket

$4,160,538 Vol.

Polymarket

15 de junho

$498,096 Vol.

100%

30 de junho

$691,748 Vol.

100%

31 de agosto

$227,101 Vol.

100%

30 de setembro

$322,246 Vol.

100%

31 de dezembro

$379,556 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, marked by a confidential SEC filing in April 2026 and a public S-1 prospectus on May 20, has driven recent trader focus on near-term listing prospects. The company targets pricing on June 11 and a Nasdaq debut the next day under ticker SPCX, seeking to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation through the sale of over 555 million shares at $135 each—the largest offering in history. Revenue reached $18 billion in 2025, supported by Starlink subscriber growth and record Falcon launches, even as net losses continued amid heavy Starship and xAI-related investments. A 21-bank syndicate led by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley is managing the roadshow, with dual-class share provisions and a 366-day lockup for Musk’s stake providing structural context. Any final delays in regulatory clearance or market conditions remain the key variables before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,160,538
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, marked by a confidential SEC filing in April 2026 and a public S-1 prospectus on May 20, has driven recent trader focus on near-term listing prospects. The company targets pricing on June 11 and a Nasdaq debut the next day under ticker SPCX, seeking to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation through the sale of over 555 million shares at $135 each—the largest offering in history. Revenue reached $18 billion in 2025, supported by Starlink subscriber growth and record Falcon launches, even as net losses continued amid heavy Starship and xAI-related investments. A 21-bank syndicate led by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley is managing the roadshow, with dual-class share provisions and a 366-day lockup for Musk’s stake providing structural context. Any final delays in regulatory clearance or market conditions remain the key variables before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,160,538
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15 de junho" at 100%, followed by "30 de junho" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" has generated $4.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is "15 de junho" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.