Market icon
Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

Market icon
Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

$1,087,644 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,087,644 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$311,956 Vol.

1%

31 de maio

$69,321 Vol.

3%

15 de junho

$18,710 Vol.

27%

30 de junho

$100,567 Vol.

61%

30 de setembro

$34,052 Vol.

91%

31 de dezembro

$44,892 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1, 2026, has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster listing as early as June or July, potentially raising $50-75 billion at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation driven by Starship reusability milestones and Starlink's expanding satellite constellation. This move follows years of private funding rounds amid accelerating launch cadences—recently hitting 34 reuses of the same Falcon 9 booster—and NASA Artemis contracts bolstering revenue stability. Competitive pressures from Blue Origin and regulatory scrutiny on orbital debris add uncertainty, but traders eye upcoming SEC review milestones, Starship V3's first flight in weeks, and roadshow details as key catalysts that could firm up timelines or introduce delays.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,087,644
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1, 2026, has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster listing as early as June or July, potentially raising $50-75 billion at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation driven by Starship reusability milestones and Starlink's expanding satellite constellation. This move follows years of private funding rounds amid accelerating launch cadences—recently hitting 34 reuses of the same Falcon 9 booster—and NASA Artemis contracts bolstering revenue stability. Competitive pressures from Blue Origin and regulatory scrutiny on orbital debris add uncertainty, but traders eye upcoming SEC review milestones, Starship V3's first flight in weeks, and roadshow details as key catalysts that could firm up timelines or introduce delays.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,087,644
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 94%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 91%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is "31 de dezembro" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 91%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.