Market icon
Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

Market icon
Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

$1,141,608 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,141,608 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$350,105 Vol.

1%

31 de maio

$78,495 Vol.

7%

15 de junho

$19,070 Vol.

30%

30 de junho

$104,803 Vol.

66%

30 de setembro

$35,002 Vol.

90%

31 de dezembro

$45,986 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, targeting a June initial public offering at over $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise, has sharply boosted trader consensus for near-term listing, reflecting surging revenue from Starlink's commercial satellite constellation and Falcon 9 launches. This follows February's merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for autonomous operations and mission planning amid intensifying competition from Blue Origin and national space programs. Elon Musk's recent updates signal Starship V3 first flight in 4-6 weeks, a key milestone for orbital refueling and Mars ambitions, though historical delays and SEC review timelines introduce uncertainty before the mid-year resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,141,608
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, targeting a June initial public offering at over $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise, has sharply boosted trader consensus for near-term listing, reflecting surging revenue from Starlink's commercial satellite constellation and Falcon 9 launches. This follows February's merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for autonomous operations and mission planning amid intensifying competition from Blue Origin and national space programs. Elon Musk's recent updates signal Starship V3 first flight in 4-6 weeks, a key milestone for orbital refueling and Mars ambitions, though historical delays and SEC review timelines introduce uncertainty before the mid-year resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,141,608
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 94%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is "31 de dezembro" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.