Polymarket traders price OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap in the 750B–1T range at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 31%, reflecting the company's freshly closed $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. This blockbuster raise underscores robust private investor demand amid surging AI revenue projections of $25 billion for 2026, yet tempers IPO optimism due to secondary market weakness, with $600 million in shares unsold, intense competition from Anthropic, and persistent cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually en route to profitability beyond 2030. Key swing factors include H2 2026 S-1 filing prospects, regulatory hurdles, and broader mega-IPO market reception akin to SpaceX's pending listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado750B–1T 36%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 22%
1T–1,25T 17%
1,5T+ 16%
$13,692 Vol.
$13,692 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<500B
16%
500–750B
27%
750B–1T
36%
1T–1,25T
17%
1,25T–1,5T
16%
1,5T+
16%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
31%
750B–1T 36%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 22%
1T–1,25T 17%
1,5T+ 16%
$13,692 Vol.
$13,692 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<500B
$0 Vol.
16%
500–750B
$0 Vol.
27%
750B–1T
$54 Vol.
36%
1T–1,25T
$2,790 Vol.
17%
1,25T–1,5T
$105 Vol.
16%
1,5T+
$0 Vol.
16%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$10,742 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders price OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap in the 750B–1T range at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 31%, reflecting the company's freshly closed $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. This blockbuster raise underscores robust private investor demand amid surging AI revenue projections of $25 billion for 2026, yet tempers IPO optimism due to secondary market weakness, with $600 million in shares unsold, intense competition from Anthropic, and persistent cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually en route to profitability beyond 2030. Key swing factors include H2 2026 S-1 filing prospects, regulatory hurdles, and broader mega-IPO market reception akin to SpaceX's pending listing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$13,692Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders price OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap in the 750B–1T range at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 31%, reflecting the company's freshly closed $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. This blockbuster raise underscores robust private investor demand amid surging AI revenue projections of $25 billion for 2026, yet tempers IPO optimism due to secondary market weakness, with $600 million in shares unsold, intense competition from Anthropic, and persistent cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually en route to profitability beyond 2030. Key swing factors include H2 2026 S-1 filing prospects, regulatory hurdles, and broader mega-IPO market reception akin to SpaceX's pending listing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$13,692Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap in the 750B–1T range at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 31%, reflecting the company's freshly closed $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. This blockbuster raise underscores robust private investor demand amid surging AI revenue projections of $25 billion for 2026, yet tempers IPO optimism due to secondary market weakness, with $600 million in shares unsold, intense competition from Anthropic, and persistent cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually en route to profitability beyond 2030. Key swing factors include H2 2026 S-1 filing prospects, regulatory hurdles, and broader mega-IPO market reception akin to SpaceX's pending listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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