SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its confidential SEC filing in April and public prospectus release in mid-May, underpins the market’s overwhelming 93.7% implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected regulatory review has enabled a Nasdaq debut targeted for around June 12 under ticker SPCX, with a roadshow slated to begin early in the month and pricing potentially set by June 11, positioning the offering as potentially the largest ever at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these concrete execution milestones and strong institutional demand signals. Delays from market volatility, last-minute regulatory hurdles, or shifts in roadshow momentum remain realistic scenarios that could still push resolution into July or later despite the current tight window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJunho 93.8%
Julho 3.4%
Agosto 1.5%
Setembro 1.1%
$419,559 Vol.
$419,559 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
94%
Julho
3%
Agosto
2%
Setembro
1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
1%
Junho 93.8%
Julho 3.4%
Agosto 1.5%
Setembro 1.1%
$419,559 Vol.
$419,559 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
94%
Julho
3%
Agosto
2%
Setembro
1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its confidential SEC filing in April and public prospectus release in mid-May, underpins the market’s overwhelming 93.7% implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected regulatory review has enabled a Nasdaq debut targeted for around June 12 under ticker SPCX, with a roadshow slated to begin early in the month and pricing potentially set by June 11, positioning the offering as potentially the largest ever at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these concrete execution milestones and strong institutional demand signals. Delays from market volatility, last-minute regulatory hurdles, or shifts in roadshow momentum remain realistic scenarios that could still push resolution into July or later despite the current tight window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions