SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its May 2026 S-1 filing and plans for a Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, drives the 99.6% market-implied odds for a June listing. The company’s unconventional approach—fixing pricing at $135 per share to target a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.75 trillion valuation—reflects completed SEC review and intense institutional demand. Trader consensus, informed by real capital commitments, incorporates the firm’s revenue visibility from Starlink and launch contracts alongside Musk’s control structure. While near-term catalysts like roadshow feedback could theoretically introduce delays, the compressed schedule and momentum leave scant probability for slippage into later 2026 or beyond.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJunho 99.6%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 <1%
Julho <1%
Agosto <1%
$471,633 Vol.
$471,633 Vol.
Junho
100%
Julho
<1%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
<1%
Junho 99.6%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 <1%
Julho <1%
Agosto <1%
$471,633 Vol.
$471,633 Vol.
Junho
100%
Julho
<1%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its May 2026 S-1 filing and plans for a Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, drives the 99.6% market-implied odds for a June listing. The company’s unconventional approach—fixing pricing at $135 per share to target a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.75 trillion valuation—reflects completed SEC review and intense institutional demand. Trader consensus, informed by real capital commitments, incorporates the firm’s revenue visibility from Starlink and launch contracts alongside Musk’s control structure. While near-term catalysts like roadshow feedback could theoretically introduce delays, the compressed schedule and momentum leave scant probability for slippage into later 2026 or beyond.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions