SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJunho 96%
Julho 3.5%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 1.5%
Outubro <1%
$383,051 Vol.
$383,051 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
96%
Julho
4%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
2%
Junho 96%
Julho 3.5%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 1.5%
Outubro <1%
$383,051 Vol.
$383,051 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
96%
Julho
4%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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