SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and public S-1 release on May 20 have accelerated the IPO process, with underwriters targeting a June 4 roadshow launch, June 11 pricing, and Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX. This compressed timeline, supported by faster-than-expected regulatory clearance and a planned $75–80 billion raise at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 93.5% market-implied probability for a June listing. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, reflects the momentum from recent filings and banker coordination, while scenarios such as last-minute SEC comments or market volatility could still shift the outcome despite the strong positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJunho 94%
Julho 4.8%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 1.5%
Outubro <1%
$382,981 Vol.
$382,981 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
94%
Julho
5%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
1%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
2%
Junho 94%
Julho 4.8%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 1.5%
Outubro <1%
$382,981 Vol.
$382,981 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
94%
Julho
5%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
1%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and public S-1 release on May 20 have accelerated the IPO process, with underwriters targeting a June 4 roadshow launch, June 11 pricing, and Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX. This compressed timeline, supported by faster-than-expected regulatory clearance and a planned $75–80 billion raise at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 93.5% market-implied probability for a June listing. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, reflects the momentum from recent filings and banker coordination, while scenarios such as last-minute SEC comments or market volatility could still shift the outcome despite the strong positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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