SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 94% market-implied probability for a June debut. The company, advised by Goldman Sachs and others, has set a June 4 roadshow launch and June 11 pricing, reflecting faster-than-expected SEC progress from its April confidential filing and positioning the event as potentially the largest IPO on record at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in this compressed schedule amid strong institutional demand and retail allocations. Delays from regulatory hurdles, unfavorable equity market conditions, or shifts in valuation expectations could realistically extend the window into July or later.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJunho 94%
Julho 4.2%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 1.5%
Outubro <1%
$382,981 Vol.
$382,981 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
94%
Julho
4%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
2%
Junho 94%
Julho 4.2%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 1.5%
Outubro <1%
$382,981 Vol.
$382,981 Vol.
Maio
<1%
Junho
94%
Julho
4%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 94% market-implied probability for a June debut. The company, advised by Goldman Sachs and others, has set a June 4 roadshow launch and June 11 pricing, reflecting faster-than-expected SEC progress from its April confidential filing and positioning the event as potentially the largest IPO on record at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in this compressed schedule amid strong institutional demand and retail allocations. Delays from regulatory hurdles, unfavorable equity market conditions, or shifts in valuation expectations could realistically extend the window into July or later.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions