SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, reported this week, has driven trader consensus toward a June IPO at 59% implied probability, aligning with standard 8-12 week timelines from filing through review, roadshow, and listing. Bloomberg and other outlets cite a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by projected 2025 revenue exceeding $15 billion from Starlink and launch cadence. July at 20.8% reflects potential slippage from regulatory hurdles or market volatility, while earlier months like April and May languish below 3% given the fresh filing date. Key catalysts ahead include public prospectus release and pricing decisions, amid robust Starship progress and xAI synergies fueling optimism.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJunho 66%
Julho 18.5%
Agosto 10.1%
Setembro 6.9%
$163,266 Vol.
$163,266 Vol.
Abril
1%
Maio
2%
Junho
62%
Julho
16%
Agosto
10%
Setembro
7%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
1%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
7%
Junho 66%
Julho 18.5%
Agosto 10.1%
Setembro 6.9%
$163,266 Vol.
$163,266 Vol.
Abril
1%
Maio
2%
Junho
62%
Julho
16%
Agosto
10%
Setembro
7%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
1%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
7%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, reported this week, has driven trader consensus toward a June IPO at 59% implied probability, aligning with standard 8-12 week timelines from filing through review, roadshow, and listing. Bloomberg and other outlets cite a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by projected 2025 revenue exceeding $15 billion from Starlink and launch cadence. July at 20.8% reflects potential slippage from regulatory hurdles or market volatility, while earlier months like April and May languish below 3% given the fresh filing date. Key catalysts ahead include public prospectus release and pricing decisions, amid robust Starship progress and xAI synergies fueling optimism.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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