SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO share-price trajectory has anchored trader consensus on a $1.0T–$1.5T closing market capitalization at end-July. After pricing near $1.75T and briefly touching $2.2T in mid-June, the stock retreated amid profit-taking and tempered analyst targets, settling the implied enterprise value in the low-to-mid $1T range by late July. This path reflects revenue run-rate estimates around $19B for 2025 scaling toward $45B in 2026, offset by ongoing losses and elevated multiples that now trade closer to historical space-sector precedents than peak IPO enthusiasm. With the resolution date immediate, only an unexpected surge in trading volume or a material positive catalyst—such as accelerated Starlink subscriber growth or regulatory milestones—could realistically shift the market-implied odds away from the dominant bracket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 1,0T-US$ 1,5T 100.0%
US$ 1,5 tri-US$ 2,0 tri 1.0%
US$ 2,0T–US$ 2,5T <1%
<US$ 1,0T <1%
$33,284 Vol.
$33,284 Vol.
31 jul 2026
<US$ 1,0T
Não
US$ 1,0T-US$ 1,5T
Sim
US$ 1,5 tri-US$ 2,0 tri
Não
US$ 2,0T–US$ 2,5T
Não
US$ 2,5T–US$ 3,0T
Não
US$ 3,0T–US$ 3,5T
Não
US$ 3,5T+
Não
US$ 1,0T-US$ 1,5T 100.0%
US$ 1,5 tri-US$ 2,0 tri 1.0%
US$ 2,0T–US$ 2,5T <1%
<US$ 1,0T <1%
$33,284 Vol.
$33,284 Vol.
31 jul 2026
<US$ 1,0T
$2,002 Vol.
Não
US$ 1,0T-US$ 1,5T
$8,343 Vol.
Sim
US$ 1,5 tri-US$ 2,0 tri
$12,756 Vol.
Não
US$ 2,0T–US$ 2,5T
$7,635 Vol.
Não
US$ 2,5T–US$ 3,0T
$1,037 Vol.
Não
US$ 3,0T–US$ 3,5T
$1,077 Vol.
Não
US$ 3,5T+
$436 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO share-price trajectory has anchored trader consensus on a $1.0T–$1.5T closing market capitalization at end-July. After pricing near $1.75T and briefly touching $2.2T in mid-June, the stock retreated amid profit-taking and tempered analyst targets, settling the implied enterprise value in the low-to-mid $1T range by late July. This path reflects revenue run-rate estimates around $19B for 2025 scaling toward $45B in 2026, offset by ongoing losses and elevated multiples that now trade closer to historical space-sector precedents than peak IPO enthusiasm. With the resolution date immediate, only an unexpected surge in trading volume or a material positive catalyst—such as accelerated Starlink subscriber growth or regulatory milestones—could realistically shift the market-implied odds away from the dominant bracket.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$33,284Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO share-price trajectory has anchored trader consensus on a $1.0T–$1.5T closing market capitalization at end-July. After pricing near $1.75T and briefly touching $2.2T in mid-June, the stock retreated amid profit-taking and tempered analyst targets, settling the implied enterprise value in the low-to-mid $1T range by late July. This path reflects revenue run-rate estimates around $19B for 2025 scaling toward $45B in 2026, offset by ongoing losses and elevated multiples that now trade closer to historical space-sector precedents than peak IPO enthusiasm. With the resolution date immediate, only an unexpected surge in trading volume or a material positive catalyst—such as accelerated Starlink subscriber growth or regulatory milestones—could realistically shift the market-implied odds away from the dominant bracket.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
Volume
$33,284Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO share-price trajectory has anchored trader consensus on a $1.0T–$1.5T closing market capitalization at end-July. After pricing near $1.75T and briefly touching $2.2T in mid-June, the stock retreated amid profit-taking and tempered analyst targets, settling the implied enterprise value in the low-to-mid $1T range by late July. This path reflects revenue run-rate estimates around $19B for 2025 scaling toward $45B in 2026, offset by ongoing losses and elevated multiples that now trade closer to historical space-sector precedents than peak IPO enthusiasm. With the resolution date immediate, only an unexpected surge in trading volume or a material positive catalyst—such as accelerated Starlink subscriber growth or regulatory milestones—could realistically shift the market-implied odds away from the dominant bracket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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