Stripe's secondary market activity, including its February 2026 tender offer clearing near a $159 billion valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around the IPO closing market cap, with the 44% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting ongoing delays despite robust payments revenue growth and profitability. Competitive dynamics center on fintech sector multiples, potential M&A such as the reported OpenRouter discussions, and macroeconomic factors including Treasury yields and risk appetite that could support or suppress a $350–500 billion+ debut. Closely matched probabilities across brackets underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and post-listing valuation, with key catalysts including any regulatory filings or earnings updates that might shift consensus before the 2027 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 250B–US$ 300B 70%
US$ 500B+ 44%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 44%
<US$150B 42%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
42%
US$150B-US$200B
38%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
9%
US$ 250B–US$ 300B
70%
US$300B-US$350B
-
US$ 350B–US$ 400B
38%
US$400B-US$450B
37%
US$450B-US$500B
34%
US$ 500B+
44%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
44%
US$ 250B–US$ 300B 70%
US$ 500B+ 44%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 44%
<US$150B 42%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
$50 Vol.
42%
US$150B-US$200B
$69 Vol.
38%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
$70 Vol.
9%
US$ 250B–US$ 300B
$94 Vol.
70%
US$300B-US$350B
$94 Vol.
-
US$ 350B–US$ 400B
$81 Vol.
38%
US$400B-US$450B
$94 Vol.
37%
US$450B-US$500B
$73 Vol.
34%
US$ 500B+
$47 Vol.
44%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$63 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe's secondary market activity, including its February 2026 tender offer clearing near a $159 billion valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around the IPO closing market cap, with the 44% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting ongoing delays despite robust payments revenue growth and profitability. Competitive dynamics center on fintech sector multiples, potential M&A such as the reported OpenRouter discussions, and macroeconomic factors including Treasury yields and risk appetite that could support or suppress a $350–500 billion+ debut. Closely matched probabilities across brackets underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and post-listing valuation, with key catalysts including any regulatory filings or earnings updates that might shift consensus before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$735Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe's secondary market activity, including its February 2026 tender offer clearing near a $159 billion valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around the IPO closing market cap, with the 44% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting ongoing delays despite robust payments revenue growth and profitability. Competitive dynamics center on fintech sector multiples, potential M&A such as the reported OpenRouter discussions, and macroeconomic factors including Treasury yields and risk appetite that could support or suppress a $350–500 billion+ debut. Closely matched probabilities across brackets underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and post-listing valuation, with key catalysts including any regulatory filings or earnings updates that might shift consensus before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$735Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stripe's secondary market activity, including its February 2026 tender offer clearing near a $159 billion valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around the IPO closing market cap, with the 44% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting ongoing delays despite robust payments revenue growth and profitability. Competitive dynamics center on fintech sector multiples, potential M&A such as the reported OpenRouter discussions, and macroeconomic factors including Treasury yields and risk appetite that could support or suppress a $350–500 billion+ debut. Closely matched probabilities across brackets underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and post-listing valuation, with key catalysts including any regulatory filings or earnings updates that might shift consensus before the 2027 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions