Databricks' decision to pursue additional private funding at a $188 billion valuation in July 2026, combined with CEO Ali Ghodsi's June remarks labeling 2026 a "terrible year" for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and OpenAI, has reinforced trader expectations of delays. Revenue momentum—reaching a $6.9 billion annualized run rate by June with over 80% year-over-year growth—supports elevated post-IPO market caps in the $200–350 billion ranges, yet the absence of an S-1 filing and preference for private capital keep the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 60.5% as the clear leader. Upcoming catalysts include any 2027 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$450B+ 65%
<US$150B 62%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 62%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B 60%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
62%
US$150B–US$200B
57%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
29%
US$250B-US$300B
31%
US$300B-US$350B
31%
US$350B–US$400B
22%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B
60%
US$450B+
65%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
62%
US$450B+ 65%
<US$150B 62%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 62%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B 60%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
$0 Vol.
62%
US$150B–US$200B
$0 Vol.
57%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
$18 Vol.
29%
US$250B-US$300B
$18 Vol.
31%
US$300B-US$350B
$18 Vol.
31%
US$350B–US$400B
$18 Vol.
22%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B
$0 Vol.
60%
US$450B+
$0 Vol.
65%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$172 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' decision to pursue additional private funding at a $188 billion valuation in July 2026, combined with CEO Ali Ghodsi's June remarks labeling 2026 a "terrible year" for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and OpenAI, has reinforced trader expectations of delays. Revenue momentum—reaching a $6.9 billion annualized run rate by June with over 80% year-over-year growth—supports elevated post-IPO market caps in the $200–350 billion ranges, yet the absence of an S-1 filing and preference for private capital keep the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 60.5% as the clear leader. Upcoming catalysts include any 2027 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$244Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' decision to pursue additional private funding at a $188 billion valuation in July 2026, combined with CEO Ali Ghodsi's June remarks labeling 2026 a "terrible year" for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and OpenAI, has reinforced trader expectations of delays. Revenue momentum—reaching a $6.9 billion annualized run rate by June with over 80% year-over-year growth—supports elevated post-IPO market caps in the $200–350 billion ranges, yet the absence of an S-1 filing and preference for private capital keep the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 60.5% as the clear leader. Upcoming catalysts include any 2027 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$244Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' decision to pursue additional private funding at a $188 billion valuation in July 2026, combined with CEO Ali Ghodsi's June remarks labeling 2026 a "terrible year" for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and OpenAI, has reinforced trader expectations of delays. Revenue momentum—reaching a $6.9 billion annualized run rate by June with over 80% year-over-year growth—supports elevated post-IPO market caps in the $200–350 billion ranges, yet the absence of an S-1 filing and preference for private capital keep the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 60.5% as the clear leader. Upcoming catalysts include any 2027 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions