Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

31%

May 31

$524K Vol.

$178K today

$58.1K Liq.

39

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

73%

$3.8K Vol.

$691 Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

9%

$104K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

90%

$1.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

87%

$3.3K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

10%

$136K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

44%

1

$679K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

9

Ends em 12 meses

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$38.4K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

9

Ends em 12 meses

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

31%

$32.0K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

-

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

7%

$52.2K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

10%

$130K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

<1%

$52.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

4

Ends há 6 dias

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

69%

Jim Baird

$1.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

96%

Mike Thompson

$17.1K Vol.

$68.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

65%

Thomas Massie

$161K Vol.

$64.0K Liq.

29

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

73%

Laura Gillen

$4.9K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$7.4K Vol.

$47.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$80 Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PrimáRio 2024.

Polymarket currently hosts 126 active markets for PrimáRio 2024 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to 1. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PrimáRio 2024 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.