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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut

Erin Stewart 55%

Ryan Fazio 33%

Betsy McCaughey 13%

Harry Arora 8.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Erin Stewart 55%

Ryan Fazio 33%

Betsy McCaughey 13%

Harry Arora 8.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Erin Stewart

$2,119 Vol.

55%

Ryan Fazio

$0 Vol.

33%

Betsy McCaughey

$0 Vol.

13%

Harry Arora

$0 Vol.

9%

Timothy Wilcox

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart at 52.5% to win Connecticut's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her commanding leads in internal campaign polling—such as 42% to state Sen. Ryan Fazio's 13%—and strong name recognition from 12 years governing a Democratic stronghold, plus early qualification for public financing grants in January. Fazio trails at 33% buoyed by top favorability (net +39) among likely GOP primary voters in the February University of New Hampshire poll, legislative endorsements like House Minority Leader Vincent Candelora, and tax-cut pledges appealing to base concerns. Former New York Lt. Gov. Betsy McCaughey's 13% reflects her late January entry and income tax elimination platform amid low name ID, while Rep. Harry Arora and activist Timothy Wilcox lag with limited traction. A May state convention endorsement could shift dynamics in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,119
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart at 52.5% to win Connecticut's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her commanding leads in internal campaign polling—such as 42% to state Sen. Ryan Fazio's 13%—and strong name recognition from 12 years governing a Democratic stronghold, plus early qualification for public financing grants in January. Fazio trails at 33% buoyed by top favorability (net +39) among likely GOP primary voters in the February University of New Hampshire poll, legislative endorsements like House Minority Leader Vincent Candelora, and tax-cut pledges appealing to base concerns. Former New York Lt. Gov. Betsy McCaughey's 13% reflects her late January entry and income tax elimination platform amid low name ID, while Rep. Harry Arora and activist Timothy Wilcox lag with limited traction. A May state convention endorsement could shift dynamics in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,119
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Erin Stewart" at 55%, followed by "Ryan Fazio" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" is "Erin Stewart" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ryan Fazio" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.