Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin

Name: Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin
Start: 2025-12-11T18:00:11.086Z
End: 2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z

Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin

Mandela Barnes 41%

Francesca Hong 31.6%

Sara Rodriguez 22%

Kelda Roys 2.3%

$33,843 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Mandela Barnes

$7,137 Vol.

41%

Francesca Hong

$4,939 Vol.

32%

Sara Rodriguez

$5,315 Vol.

22%

Kelda Roys

$2,124 Vol.

David Crowley

$2,369 Vol.

Joel Brennan

$1,888 Vol.

Chris Larson

$1,577 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$1,429 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,373 Vol.

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,392 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$1,406 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,513 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Roper

$1,381 Vol.

<1%

Mandela Barnes 41%

Francesca Hong 31.6%

Sara Rodriguez 22%

Kelda Roys 2.3%

$33,843 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Mandela Barnes

$7,137 Vol.

41%

Francesca Hong

$4,939 Vol.

32%

Sara Rodriguez

$5,315 Vol.

22%

Kelda Roys

$2,124 Vol.

David Crowley

$2,369 Vol.

Joel Brennan

$1,888 Vol.

Chris Larson

$1,577 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$1,429 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,373 Vol.

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,392 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$1,406 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,513 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Roper

$1,381 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary favors Mandela Barnes at 40.5¢ implied probability, driven by his leading fundraising totals—over $2 million raised in recent quarters—and high name recognition from the narrow 2022 U.S. Senate loss, per the latest Marquette Law School poll showing him at 28% support. State Rep. Francesca Hong trails at 31.2¢ on progressive appeal and grassroots momentum in Dane County, while Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez holds 23.5¢ via institutional ties and outgoing Gov. Tony Evers' reported preference, though no formal endorsement has materialized. The fragmented field keeps the top trio within striking distance absent consolidation; separation could arise from Evers' backing, Q4 fundraising disclosures, or early 2026 primary polls amid Wisconsin's history of tight intraparty races.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 26, 2026, 7:14 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mandela Barnes" at 41%, followed by "Francesca Hong" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" has generated $33.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" is "Mandela Barnes" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Francesca Hong" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $33.8K traded on “Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 41¢ for "Mandela Barnes" in the "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 41% chance that "Mandela Barnes" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 41¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 59¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 11, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin

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