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Política·Primárias

UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Market icon
Política·Primárias

UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Ben McAdams 48%

Nate Blouin 47%

Kathleen Riebe 6.2%

Jenny Wilson 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,898 Vol.

Ben McAdams 48%

Nate Blouin 47%

Kathleen Riebe 6.2%

Jenny Wilson 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,898 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$5,494 Vol.

48%

Nate Blouin

$1,917 Vol.

47%

Kathleen Riebe

$0 Vol.

6%

Jenny Wilson

$0 Vol.

1%

Brian King

$0 Vol.

1%

Luz Escamilla

$0 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$3,486 Vol.

1%

Caroline Gleich

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly drawn 1st Congressional District—a Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City bastion created by recent court-ordered redistricting—trader consensus shows former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holding a slim edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin, reflecting a tight moderate-versus-progressive primary matchup ahead of the June 23 vote. McAdams benefits from name recognition, incumbency experience from 2019-2021, and leading Q4 2025 fundraising at nearly $1 million raised. Blouin's momentum stems from progressive endorsements including Bernie Sanders, Pramila Jayapal, and David Hogg's group, amplified by recent town halls like the March 12 forum where candidates aligned on issues such as Israel policy and immigration enforcement. The race remains neck-and-neck absent public polls, with post-March 17 caucus delegate selections, Q1 fundraising disclosures, and candidate debates poised to tip the balance by mobilizing key voting blocs.

In Utah's newly drawn 1st Congressional District—a Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City bastion created by recent court-ordered redistricting—trader consensus shows former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holding a slim edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin, reflecting a tight moderate-versus-progressive primary matchup ahead of the June 23 vote. McAdams benefits from name recognition, incumbency experience from 2019-2021, and leading Q4 2025 fundraising at nearly $1 million raised. Blouin's momentum stems from progressive endorsements including Bernie Sanders, Pramila Jayapal, and David Hogg's group, amplified by recent town halls like the March 12 forum where candidates aligned on issues such as Israel policy and immigration enforcement. The race remains neck-and-neck absent public polls, with post-March 17 caucus delegate selections, Q1 fundraising disclosures, and candidate debates poised to tip the balance by mobilizing key voting blocs.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly drawn 1st Congressional District—a Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City bastion created by recent court-ordered redistricting—trader consensus shows former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holding a slim edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin, reflecting a tight moderate-versus-progressive primary matchup ahead of the June 23 vote. McAdams benefits from name recognition, incumbency experience from 2019-2021, and leading Q4 2025 fundraising at nearly $1 million raised. Blouin's momentum stems from progressive endorsements including Bernie Sanders, Pramila Jayapal, and David Hogg's group, amplified by recent town halls like the March 12 forum where candidates aligned on issues such as Israel policy and immigration enforcement. The race remains neck-and-neck absent public polls, with post-March 17 caucus delegate selections, Q1 fundraising disclosures, and candidate debates poised to tip the balance by mobilizing key voting blocs.

In Utah's newly drawn 1st Congressional District—a Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City bastion created by recent court-ordered redistricting—trader consensus shows former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holding a slim edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin, reflecting a tight moderate-versus-progressive primary matchup ahead of the June 23 vote. McAdams benefits from name recognition, incumbency experience from 2019-2021, and leading Q4 2025 fundraising at nearly $1 million raised. Blouin's momentum stems from progressive endorsements including Bernie Sanders, Pramila Jayapal, and David Hogg's group, amplified by recent town halls like the March 12 forum where candidates aligned on issues such as Israel policy and immigration enforcement. The race remains neck-and-neck absent public polls, with post-March 17 caucus delegate selections, Q1 fundraising disclosures, and candidate debates poised to tip the balance by mobilizing key voting blocs.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 48%, followed by "Nate Blouin" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Ben McAdams" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nate Blouin" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.