Colin Allred's commanding lead in the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' 33rd Congressional District, where he garnered about 44% to Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, has carried into trader consensus favoring him at 70% implied probability for the May 26 runoff in this newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas-area seat. Allred's announcement on April 2 of raising $950,000 since mid-February—part of a $1.8 million first-quarter total without corporate PAC money—bolsters his momentum and advertising edge, building on his name recognition from the 2024 Senate race. Johnson benefits from institutional endorsements like the Texas Black Caucus, but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff. Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez trail with negligible support after weak primary showings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoColin Allred 70%
Julie Johnson 31%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,600 Vol.
$54,600 Vol.
Colin Allred
70%
Julie Johnson
31%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 70%
Julie Johnson 31%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,600 Vol.
$54,600 Vol.
Colin Allred
70%
Julie Johnson
31%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred's commanding lead in the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' 33rd Congressional District, where he garnered about 44% to Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, has carried into trader consensus favoring him at 70% implied probability for the May 26 runoff in this newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas-area seat. Allred's announcement on April 2 of raising $950,000 since mid-February—part of a $1.8 million first-quarter total without corporate PAC money—bolsters his momentum and advertising edge, building on his name recognition from the 2024 Senate race. Johnson benefits from institutional endorsements like the Texas Black Caucus, but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff. Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez trail with negligible support after weak primary showings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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