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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata TX-33

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata TX-33

Colin Allred 70%

Julie Johnson 31%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$54,600 Vol.

Colin Allred 70%

Julie Johnson 31%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$54,600 Vol.

Colin Allred

$27,160 Vol.

70%

Julie Johnson

$24,760 Vol.

31%

Carlos Quintanilla

$2,679 Vol.

<1%

Zeeshan Hafeez

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred led with 44% of the vote to incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff alongside minor candidates Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (9%) who garnered negligible support. Allred's trader consensus edge at 70% stems from his primary momentum, endorsements from Quintanilla and Hafeez, and dominant fundraising—including $950,000 raised since mid-February for a Q1 total exceeding $1.8 million without corporate PACs—outpacing Johnson's cash on hand. Johnson's incumbency and North Texas ties provide a base, but low runoff turnout risks favor Allred's name recognition from prior House service and statewide Senate bids.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$54,600
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred led with 44% of the vote to incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff alongside minor candidates Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (9%) who garnered negligible support. Allred's trader consensus edge at 70% stems from his primary momentum, endorsements from Quintanilla and Hafeez, and dominant fundraising—including $950,000 raised since mid-February for a Q1 total exceeding $1.8 million without corporate PACs—outpacing Johnson's cash on hand. Johnson's incumbency and North Texas ties provide a base, but low runoff turnout risks favor Allred's name recognition from prior House service and statewide Senate bids.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$54,600
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata TX-33" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Colin Allred" at 70%, followed by "Julie Johnson" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata TX-33" has generated $54.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata TX-33," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata TX-33" is "Colin Allred" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Julie Johnson" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata TX-33" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.