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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19

Tom Sell 86.3%

Abraham Enriquez 7.2%

Ryan Zink 2.7%

Matthew Smith 1.4%

Polymarket

$42,699 Vol.

Tom Sell 86.3%

Abraham Enriquez 7.2%

Ryan Zink 2.7%

Matthew Smith 1.4%

Polymarket

$42,699 Vol.

Tom Sell

$42,699 Vol.

86%

Abraham Enriquez

$0 Vol.

7%

Ryan Zink

$0 Vol.

3%

Matthew Smith

$0 Vol.

1%

Donald May

$0 Vol.

1%

Jason Corley

$0 Vol.

1%

James Barbee

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, following his dominant 40.4% plurality in the March 3 first-round balloting—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat race to succeed retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's strong early voting performance, fifth-generation West Texas roots, and endorsements from agricultural groups like those led by Chairman Thompson have solidified his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican district, where the primary winner holds a clear path to November victory. Enriquez, backed by Gov. Greg Abbott and emphasizing America First priorities, advanced as runner-up amid a fragmented field but faces an uphill consolidation battle, with others like Ryan Zink and Matthew Smith drawing minimal lingering support. Certification of results on March 20 confirmed the matchup, with no major intervening developments shifting dynamics ahead of runoff campaigning.

Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, following his dominant 40.4% plurality in the March 3 first-round balloting—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat race to succeed retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's strong early voting performance, fifth-generation West Texas roots, and endorsements from agricultural groups like those led by Chairman Thompson have solidified his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican district, where the primary winner holds a clear path to November victory. Enriquez, backed by Gov. Greg Abbott and emphasizing America First priorities, advanced as runner-up amid a fragmented field but faces an uphill consolidation battle, with others like Ryan Zink and Matthew Smith drawing minimal lingering support. Certification of results on March 20 confirmed the matchup, with no major intervening developments shifting dynamics ahead of runoff campaigning.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, following his dominant 40.4% plurality in the March 3 first-round balloting—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat race to succeed retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's strong early voting performance, fifth-generation West Texas roots, and endorsements from agricultural groups like those led by Chairman Thompson have solidified his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican district, where the primary winner holds a clear path to November victory. Enriquez, backed by Gov. Greg Abbott and emphasizing America First priorities, advanced as runner-up amid a fragmented field but faces an uphill consolidation battle, with others like Ryan Zink and Matthew Smith drawing minimal lingering support. Certification of results on March 20 confirmed the matchup, with no major intervening developments shifting dynamics ahead of runoff campaigning.

Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, following his dominant 40.4% plurality in the March 3 first-round balloting—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat race to succeed retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's strong early voting performance, fifth-generation West Texas roots, and endorsements from agricultural groups like those led by Chairman Thompson have solidified his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican district, where the primary winner holds a clear path to November victory. Enriquez, backed by Gov. Greg Abbott and emphasizing America First priorities, advanced as runner-up amid a fragmented field but faces an uphill consolidation battle, with others like Ryan Zink and Matthew Smith drawing minimal lingering support. Certification of results on March 20 confirmed the matchup, with no major intervening developments shifting dynamics ahead of runoff campaigning.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Sell" at 86%, followed by "Abraham Enriquez" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" has generated $42.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" is "Tom Sell" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abraham Enriquez" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.