Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 55-60% voter turnout at 74% for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, driven by preliminary counts and historical precedents around 57-60% in recent cycles like 2017, despite initial election-day reports of high participation. The Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) declared official turnout at 60.19%—3.93 million votes from 6.52 million registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.6% due to registry expansion—but fraud claims by Liberal's Salvador Nasralla and Libre's Rixi Moncada, technical failures delaying tallies into December, manual recounts of inconsistent actas, and outgoing President Xiomara Castro's January 2026 full recount order have sustained skepticism. This closely contested range reflects uncertainty over final validation amid ongoing disputes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoParticipação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025
Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025
55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.5%
60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,901 Vol.
$1,584,901 Vol.
<55%
18%
55-60%
74%
60-65%
4%
55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.5%
60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,901 Vol.
$1,584,901 Vol.
<55%
18%
55-60%
74%
60-65%
4%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 55-60% voter turnout at 74% for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, driven by preliminary counts and historical precedents around 57-60% in recent cycles like 2017, despite initial election-day reports of high participation. The Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) declared official turnout at 60.19%—3.93 million votes from 6.52 million registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.6% due to registry expansion—but fraud claims by Liberal's Salvador Nasralla and Libre's Rixi Moncada, technical failures delaying tallies into December, manual recounts of inconsistent actas, and outgoing President Xiomara Castro's January 2026 full recount order have sustained skepticism. This closely contested range reflects uncertainty over final validation amid ongoing disputes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions