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Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

mai 26

mai 26

Ken Paxton 66%

John Cornyn 32%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$13,179,350 Vol.

Ken Paxton 66%

John Cornyn 32%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$13,179,350 Vol.

Market icon

Ken Paxton

$4,085,781 Vol.

66%

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John Cornyn

$2,997,758 Vol.

32%

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Dawn Buckingham

$893,107 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Beth Van Duyne

$3,457,789 Vol.

<1%

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Wesley Hunt

$1,744,916 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 65.5% to win the Republican U.S. Senate primary over incumbent Senator John Cornyn at 31.5%, reflecting Paxton's momentum heading into the May 26 runoff after neither secured a March 3 majority in the crowded first round. Recent internal polling from Impact Research shows Paxton leading 53%-37% in a head-to-head matchup, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base amid Cornyn's struggles with MAGA voters despite superior fundraising and establishment endorsements from figures like Gov. Greg Abbott. Massive primary spending exceeding $100 million signals intensified runoff attacks, with Republicans wary of general election risks if Paxton prevails, though no Trump endorsement has materialized to date. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after failing to advance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,179,350
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 65.5% to win the Republican U.S. Senate primary over incumbent Senator John Cornyn at 31.5%, reflecting Paxton's momentum heading into the May 26 runoff after neither secured a March 3 majority in the crowded first round. Recent internal polling from Impact Research shows Paxton leading 53%-37% in a head-to-head matchup, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base amid Cornyn's struggles with MAGA voters despite superior fundraising and establishment endorsements from figures like Gov. Greg Abbott. Massive primary spending exceeding $100 million signals intensified runoff attacks, with Republicans wary of general election risks if Paxton prevails, though no Trump endorsement has materialized to date. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after failing to advance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,179,350
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Paxton" at 66%, followed by "John Cornyn" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" has generated $13.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is "Ken Paxton" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Cornyn" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.