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Política·Recompensas 20, 4,5, 50

Terrebone By-Election Winner

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Política·Recompensas 20, 4,5, 50

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Tatiana Auguste 55%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 43%

Maria Cantore 1.3%

Maxime Beaudoin 1.2%

Polymarket

$45,367 Vol.

Tatiana Auguste 55%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 43%

Maria Cantore 1.3%

Maxime Beaudoin 1.2%

Polymarket

$45,367 Vol.

Market icon

Tatiana Auguste

$15,024 Vol.

55%

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Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné

$9,433 Vol.

43%

Market icon

Maria Cantore

$6,027 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Maxime Beaudoin

$5,776 Vol.

1%

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Adrienne Charles

$4,737 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Benjamin Rankin

$4,369 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 54.5% over Bloc Québécois Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in the Terrebonne federal by-election on April 13, mirroring 338Canada's 57%-43% Liberal win odds in this toss-up riding. The close positioning stems from the 2025 election's one-vote Liberal margin, annulled February 13 by the Supreme Court over an Elections Canada mail-in ballot printing error that rejected a Bloc vote. Recent developments include nominations closing March 23, rallies where Auguste defended her prior win and Sinclair-Desgagné highlighted local issues like housing and rail expropriations, and March 25's announcement of write-in ballots for 48 candidates due to Longest Ballot Committee protest entries. A Liberal victory would deliver Prime Minister Carney's government a Commons majority, heightening stakes amid intense campaigning.

Trader consensus favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 54.5% over Bloc Québécois Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in the Terrebonne federal by-election on April 13, mirroring 338Canada's 57%-43% Liberal win odds in this toss-up riding. The close positioning stems from the 2025 election's one-vote Liberal margin, annulled February 13 by the Supreme Court over an Elections Canada mail-in ballot printing error that rejected a Bloc vote. Recent developments include nominations closing March 23, rallies where Auguste defended her prior win and Sinclair-Desgagné highlighted local issues like housing and rail expropriations, and March 25's announcement of write-in ballots for 48 candidates due to Longest Ballot Committee protest entries. A Liberal victory would deliver Prime Minister Carney's government a Commons majority, heightening stakes amid intense campaigning.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 54.5% over Bloc Québécois Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in the Terrebonne federal by-election on April 13, mirroring 338Canada's 57%-43% Liberal win odds in this toss-up riding. The close positioning stems from the 2025 election's one-vote Liberal margin, annulled February 13 by the Supreme Court over an Elections Canada mail-in ballot printing error that rejected a Bloc vote. Recent developments include nominations closing March 23, rallies where Auguste defended her prior win and Sinclair-Desgagné highlighted local issues like housing and rail expropriations, and March 25's announcement of write-in ballots for 48 candidates due to Longest Ballot Committee protest entries. A Liberal victory would deliver Prime Minister Carney's government a Commons majority, heightening stakes amid intense campaigning.

Trader consensus favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 54.5% over Bloc Québécois Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in the Terrebonne federal by-election on April 13, mirroring 338Canada's 57%-43% Liberal win odds in this toss-up riding. The close positioning stems from the 2025 election's one-vote Liberal margin, annulled February 13 by the Supreme Court over an Elections Canada mail-in ballot printing error that rejected a Bloc vote. Recent developments include nominations closing March 23, rallies where Auguste defended her prior win and Sinclair-Desgagné highlighted local issues like housing and rail expropriations, and March 25's announcement of write-in ballots for 48 candidates due to Longest Ballot Committee protest entries. A Liberal victory would deliver Prime Minister Carney's government a Commons majority, heightening stakes amid intense campaigning.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tatiana Auguste" at 55%, followed by "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Terrebone By-Election Winner" has generated $45.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" is "Tatiana Auguste" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.