JD Vance leads slightly over Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting the post-2024 landscape where Vance's vice presidential role under a Trump administration positions him as the GOP heir apparent, bolstered by strong alignment with the party base and potential endorsement. Newsom, as California governor, commands Democratic odds through his high-profile resistance to Republican policies and national visibility amid a fragmented post-Harris field. The tight clustering at 17-18% underscores early-cycle uncertainty, with no primaries underway and a wide array of contenders; 2026 midterms, vice presidential performance, cabinet roles, scandals, or polling shifts in swing states could drive separation and reshape electoral math.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028
Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028
JD Vance 17.8%
Gavin Newsom 17.0%
Marco Rubio 11.0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.7%
$455,828,048 Vol.
$455,828,048 Vol.

JD Vance
18%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

James Talarico
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
<1%
JD Vance 17.8%
Gavin Newsom 17.0%
Marco Rubio 11.0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.7%
$455,828,048 Vol.
$455,828,048 Vol.

JD Vance
18%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

James Talarico
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
<1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance leads slightly over Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting the post-2024 landscape where Vance's vice presidential role under a Trump administration positions him as the GOP heir apparent, bolstered by strong alignment with the party base and potential endorsement. Newsom, as California governor, commands Democratic odds through his high-profile resistance to Republican policies and national visibility amid a fragmented post-Harris field. The tight clustering at 17-18% underscores early-cycle uncertainty, with no primaries underway and a wide array of contenders; 2026 midterms, vice presidential performance, cabinet roles, scandals, or polling shifts in swing states could drive separation and reshape electoral math.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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