JD Vance leads Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner odds at 17.8% implied probability as vice president-elect under President-elect Donald Trump, benefiting from incumbency advantages, strong alignment with the GOP base, and heir-apparent status post-Trump's 2024 victory. Gavin Newsom trails closely at 16.8%, elevated by his California governorship, national media presence, and Democratic efforts to rebuild after Kamala Harris's defeat. Marco Rubio's 11.1% reflects his high-profile nomination as Secretary of State, enhancing visibility. This tight contest stems from an open field absent primaries or declared candidacies, with trader consensus pricing in fluid dynamics; separation could arise from Trump's explicit endorsement, 2026 midterm outcomes, early polling shifts, or administration policy successes amid economic or foreign policy tests.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028
Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028
JD Vance 17.8%
Gavin Newsom 16.8%
Marco Rubio 11.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.7%
$454,933,657 Vol.
$454,933,657 Vol.

JD Vance
18%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

James Talarico
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
<1%
JD Vance 17.8%
Gavin Newsom 16.8%
Marco Rubio 11.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.7%
$454,933,657 Vol.
$454,933,657 Vol.

JD Vance
18%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

James Talarico
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
<1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance leads Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner odds at 17.8% implied probability as vice president-elect under President-elect Donald Trump, benefiting from incumbency advantages, strong alignment with the GOP base, and heir-apparent status post-Trump's 2024 victory. Gavin Newsom trails closely at 16.8%, elevated by his California governorship, national media presence, and Democratic efforts to rebuild after Kamala Harris's defeat. Marco Rubio's 11.1% reflects his high-profile nomination as Secretary of State, enhancing visibility. This tight contest stems from an open field absent primaries or declared candidacies, with trader consensus pricing in fluid dynamics; separation could arise from Trump's explicit endorsement, 2026 midterm outcomes, early polling shifts, or administration policy successes amid economic or foreign policy tests.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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