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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

JD Vance 18.1%

Gavin Newsom 17.3%

Marco Rubio 10.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.3%

Polymarket

$464,799,774 Vol.

JD Vance 18.1%

Gavin Newsom 17.3%

Marco Rubio 10.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.3%

Polymarket

$464,799,774 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,046,078 Vol.

18%

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Gavin Newsom

$6,623,102 Vol.

17%

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Marco Rubio

$5,228,883 Vol.

10%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,315,866 Vol.

5%

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Jon Ossoff

$2,879,461 Vol.

3%

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Kamala Harris

$6,408,551 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,025,547 Vol.

3%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,286,847 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$6,358,119 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,431,545 Vol.

2%

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JB Pritzker

$8,977,368 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,730,602 Vol.

2%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,533,242 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,693,447 Vol.

1%

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Andy Beshear

$14,869,679 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,933,504 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,001,014 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$21,597,188 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,414,446 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,240,672 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,145,419 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,484,144 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,285,117 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$20,690,587 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$5,384,964 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,224,661 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,030,724 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,239,060 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$19,575,498 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$27,983,836 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$28,623,269 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$15,945,701 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,674,953 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,415,884 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$28,447,123 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$42,054,736 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election at 18%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration, though odds have recently plummeted amid reports of his hesitation over prolonged Middle East conflicts clashing with his isolationist views. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, bolstered by dominant early Democratic primary polling in his home state despite sagging national support tied to state governance challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.3% share has surged on visibility from diplomatic successes, including geopolitical operations. This tight contest underscores the early-stage volatility, with 2026 midterms, party primaries, and administration performance poised to create separation among contenders.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election at 18%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration, though odds have recently plummeted amid reports of his hesitation over prolonged Middle East conflicts clashing with his isolationist views. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, bolstered by dominant early Democratic primary polling in his home state despite sagging national support tied to state governance challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.3% share has surged on visibility from diplomatic successes, including geopolitical operations. This tight contest underscores the early-stage volatility, with 2026 midterms, party primaries, and administration performance poised to create separation among contenders.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election at 18%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration, though odds have recently plummeted amid reports of his hesitation over prolonged Middle East conflicts clashing with his isolationist views. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, bolstered by dominant early Democratic primary polling in his home state despite sagging national support tied to state governance challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.3% share has surged on visibility from diplomatic successes, including geopolitical operations. This tight contest underscores the early-stage volatility, with 2026 midterms, party primaries, and administration performance poised to create separation among contenders.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election at 18%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration, though odds have recently plummeted amid reports of his hesitation over prolonged Middle East conflicts clashing with his isolationist views. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, bolstered by dominant early Democratic primary polling in his home state despite sagging national support tied to state governance challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.3% share has surged on visibility from diplomatic successes, including geopolitical operations. This tight contest underscores the early-stage volatility, with 2026 midterms, party primaries, and administration performance poised to create separation among contenders.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" has generated $464.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.