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Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Market icon
Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Brad Cohen 31%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 7%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen 31%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 7%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen

$0 Vol.

31%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

34%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

22%

Adam Hamawy

$0 Vol.

7%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

5%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

5%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Raymond Heck

$0 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,889 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary to replace retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus favors state Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Plainsboro Mayor Brad Cohen at 32.5%, reflecting tight recent polling from Emerson College showing her at 22% to his 17% in a fragmented field. Reynolds-Jackson's edge stems from endorsements by EMILY's List, the New Jersey Working Families Party, and Watson Coleman herself, bolstering progressive support, while Cohen's superior fundraising—exceeding $1 million—appeals to moderates. Councilwoman Susan Altman's 22.5% share draws from local name recognition. With the June 4 primary looming, late voter turnout efforts, additional endorsements, or district-wide absentee ballot trends could tip the balance in this closely contested open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,013
Data de Término
Jun 2, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary to replace retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus favors state Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Plainsboro Mayor Brad Cohen at 32.5%, reflecting tight recent polling from Emerson College showing her at 22% to his 17% in a fragmented field. Reynolds-Jackson's edge stems from endorsements by EMILY's List, the New Jersey Working Families Party, and Watson Coleman herself, bolstering progressive support, while Cohen's superior fundraising—exceeding $1 million—appeals to moderates. Councilwoman Susan Altman's 22.5% share draws from local name recognition. With the June 4 primary looming, late voter turnout efforts, additional endorsements, or district-wide absentee ballot trends could tip the balance in this closely contested open-seat race.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary to replace retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus favors state Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Plainsboro Mayor Brad Cohen at 32.5%, reflecting tight recent polling from Emerson College showing her at 22% to his 17% in a fragmented field. Reynolds-Jackson's edge stems from endorsements by EMILY's List, the New Jersey Working Families Party, and Watson Coleman herself, bolstering progressive support, while Cohen's superior fundraising—exceeding $1 million—appeals to moderates. Councilwoman Susan Altman's 22.5% share draws from local name recognition. With the June 4 primary looming, late voter turnout efforts, additional endorsements, or district-wide absentee ballot trends could tip the balance in this closely contested open-seat race.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 34%, followed by "Brad Cohen" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.