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Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Market icon
Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Brad Cohen 24%

Susan Altman 17%

Adrian Mapp 15.4%

Polymarket

$18,026 Vol.

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Brad Cohen 24%

Susan Altman 17%

Adrian Mapp 15.4%

Polymarket

$18,026 Vol.

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

27%

Brad Cohen

$776 Vol.

43%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

19%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

15%

Adam Hamawy

$472 Vol.

27%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

4%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Raymond Heck

$749 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,904 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the crowded Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 42.5% implied probability, propelled by his dominant March Middlesex County Democratic endorsement win—securing two-thirds of votes in a pivotal county that awards favorable ballot placement under New Jersey's party line system. State Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds second at 26.5% after clinching Mercer County's endorsement in late February, bolstering her base in another key area. Surgeon and veteran Adam Hamawy trails closely at 25.5%, boosted by Justice Democrats' March 30 endorsement and support from anti-AIPAC groups amid district debates on Israel policy. Absent public polls, odds hinge on these organizational edges in the open-seat race to succeed retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, with petition challenges against Susan Altman recently dismissed to keep her at 18.5%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,026
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the crowded Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 42.5% implied probability, propelled by his dominant March Middlesex County Democratic endorsement win—securing two-thirds of votes in a pivotal county that awards favorable ballot placement under New Jersey's party line system. State Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds second at 26.5% after clinching Mercer County's endorsement in late February, bolstering her base in another key area. Surgeon and veteran Adam Hamawy trails closely at 25.5%, boosted by Justice Democrats' March 30 endorsement and support from anti-AIPAC groups amid district debates on Israel policy. Absent public polls, odds hinge on these organizational edges in the open-seat race to succeed retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, with petition challenges against Susan Altman recently dismissed to keep her at 18.5%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,026
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 43%, followed by "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" has generated $18K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is "Brad Cohen" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.