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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Jordan Bardella 25%

Édouard Philippe 22%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 9%

Marine Le Pen 8%

Polymarket

$22,014,083 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 25%

Édouard Philippe 22%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 9%

Marine Le Pen 8%

Polymarket

$22,014,083 Vol.

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Jordan Bardella

$588,704 Vol.

25%

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Édouard Philippe

$363,345 Vol.

22%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$210,133 Vol.

9%

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Marine Le Pen

$279,015 Vol.

8%

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Dominique de Villepin

$773,128 Vol.

5%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$429,069 Vol.

4%

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Bruno Retailleau

$860,914 Vol.

4%

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François Hollande

$518,202 Vol.

3%

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Sarah Knafo

$917,276 Vol.

3%

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David Lisnard

$629,228 Vol.

3%

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Gabriel Attal

$796,113 Vol.

2%

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Valérie Pécresse

$866,004 Vol.

2%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$568,111 Vol.

2%

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Gérald Darmanin

$299,732 Vol.

2%

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Jean Castex

$433,556 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$326,556 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$245,365 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$259,689 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$229,773 Vol.

1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,083,501 Vol.

1%

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Marine Tondelier

$315,486 Vol.

1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$415,923 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$807,856 Vol.

<1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$236,754 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$930,023 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$801,542 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel Bompard

$663,517 Vol.

<1%

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Olivier Faure

$616,933 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$812,410 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$1,138,176 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$723,126 Vol.

<1%

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François Bayrou

$733,541 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$600,497 Vol.

<1%

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Clémence Guetté

$873,523 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$671,777 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$996,660 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 21.5% to win the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting a fragmented first-round field amid recent municipal election results. Bardella's lead stems from National Rally's grassroots gains in smaller towns and his consistent 36% polling share in March surveys like Harris Interactive, positioning him as the party's frontrunner while Marine Le Pen's five-year ineligibility ban from a 2025 embezzlement conviction awaits a July appeals court ruling. Philippe's close contention gained from his strong reelection as Le Havre mayor, solidifying his Horizons party's centrist appeal. Left-wing fragmentation among Mélenchon, Glucksmann, and others, plus Les Républicains' upcoming primary vote, sustains the tight race, with United Left primary in October as a key catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 21.5% to win the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting a fragmented first-round field amid recent municipal election results. Bardella's lead stems from National Rally's grassroots gains in smaller towns and his consistent 36% polling share in March surveys like Harris Interactive, positioning him as the party's frontrunner while Marine Le Pen's five-year ineligibility ban from a 2025 embezzlement conviction awaits a July appeals court ruling. Philippe's close contention gained from his strong reelection as Le Havre mayor, solidifying his Horizons party's centrist appeal. Left-wing fragmentation among Mélenchon, Glucksmann, and others, plus Les Républicains' upcoming primary vote, sustains the tight race, with United Left primary in October as a key catalyst.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 21.5% to win the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting a fragmented first-round field amid recent municipal election results. Bardella's lead stems from National Rally's grassroots gains in smaller towns and his consistent 36% polling share in March surveys like Harris Interactive, positioning him as the party's frontrunner while Marine Le Pen's five-year ineligibility ban from a 2025 embezzlement conviction awaits a July appeals court ruling. Philippe's close contention gained from his strong reelection as Le Havre mayor, solidifying his Horizons party's centrist appeal. Left-wing fragmentation among Mélenchon, Glucksmann, and others, plus Les Républicains' upcoming primary vote, sustains the tight race, with United Left primary in October as a key catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 21.5% to win the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting a fragmented first-round field amid recent municipal election results. Bardella's lead stems from National Rally's grassroots gains in smaller towns and his consistent 36% polling share in March surveys like Harris Interactive, positioning him as the party's frontrunner while Marine Le Pen's five-year ineligibility ban from a 2025 embezzlement conviction awaits a July appeals court ruling. Philippe's close contention gained from his strong reelection as Le Havre mayor, solidifying his Horizons party's centrist appeal. Left-wing fragmentation among Mélenchon, Glucksmann, and others, plus Les Républicains' upcoming primary vote, sustains the tight race, with United Left primary in October as a key catalyst.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 25%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" has generated $22 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is "Jordan Bardella" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.