Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary due to his dominant 55% support among nearly 450 delegates at the state party's March 7 pre-primary convention in Ruidoso, securing his spot on the June 2 ballot alongside challengers like Duke Rodriguez. Recent sweeping endorsements for Hull announced last week from local Republican groups and college chapters have further bolstered his frontrunner status, reflecting party insider momentum and his experience as Rio Rancho mayor. Rodriguez holds steady at 34% after courts dismissed eligibility challenges in late February and early March, clearing his path despite his late entry; however, no public polls have emerged to shift the closely watched race ahead of the primary.