Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 North Carolina Democratic primary for the 4th Congressional District—defeating challenger Nida Allam amid a possible recount that she ultimately secured—has solidified her path as nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, per Cook Political Report ratings. The Republican primary required no contest, with a single nominee advancing unopposed, reflecting limited GOP contention in the Raleigh-Durham area stronghold. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93.5%, driven by district demographics favoring Democrats, incumbency advantage, and historical base rates for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, robust Republican fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,774 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 North Carolina Democratic primary for the 4th Congressional District—defeating challenger Nida Allam amid a possible recount that she ultimately secured—has solidified her path as nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, per Cook Political Report ratings. The Republican primary required no contest, with a single nominee advancing unopposed, reflecting limited GOP contention in the Raleigh-Durham area stronghold. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93.5%, driven by district demographics favoring Democrats, incumbency advantage, and historical base rates for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, robust Republican fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$6,774Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 North Carolina Democratic primary for the 4th Congressional District—defeating challenger Nida Allam amid a possible recount that she ultimately secured—has solidified her path as nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, per Cook Political Report ratings. The Republican primary required no contest, with a single nominee advancing unopposed, reflecting limited GOP contention in the Raleigh-Durham area stronghold. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93.5%, driven by district demographics favoring Democrats, incumbency advantage, and historical base rates for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, robust Republican fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,774Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 North Carolina Democratic primary for the 4th Congressional District—defeating challenger Nida Allam amid a possible recount that she ultimately secured—has solidified her path as nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, per Cook Political Report ratings. The Republican primary required no contest, with a single nominee advancing unopposed, reflecting limited GOP contention in the Raleigh-Durham area stronghold. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93.5%, driven by district demographics favoring Democrats, incumbency advantage, and historical base rates for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, robust Republican fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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