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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Michele Tafoya 85%

Adam Schwarze 9.8%

Raymond Petersen 6.3%

Mike Ruoho 6.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Michele Tafoya 85%

Adam Schwarze 9.8%

Raymond Petersen 6.3%

Mike Ruoho 6.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Michele Tafoya

$0 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$0 Vol.

10%

Raymond Petersen

$0 Vol.

6%

Mike Ruoho

$0 Vol.

6%

Royce White

$0 Vol.

3%

Alycia Gruenhagen

$0 Vol.

3%

Christopher Brooks

$0 Vol.

1%

Jim Nash

$0 Vol.

1%

Tom Weiler

$0 Vol.

1%

David Hann

$0 Vol.

1%

Julia Coleman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya commands 78.5% trader consensus to win the Minnesota Republican US Senate primary on August 13, driven by her national name recognition from a broadcasting career and recent momentum from a strong fundraising haul topping $1 million in the latest quarter, plus endorsements from figures like Rep. Jim Jordan. Adam Schwarze (9.8%) and Raymond Petersen (7.5%) draw support from regional grassroots efforts and local party backing, while Royce White (3.5%) lags amid persistent scrutiny over past financial issues and erratic campaign messaging. Last week's internal polling released by Tafoya's team showed her doubling rivals' support statewide, shifting odds sharply; upcoming early voting and debates could test her lead in battleground areas.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
Aug 11, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya commands 78.5% trader consensus to win the Minnesota Republican US Senate primary on August 13, driven by her national name recognition from a broadcasting career and recent momentum from a strong fundraising haul topping $1 million in the latest quarter, plus endorsements from figures like Rep. Jim Jordan. Adam Schwarze (9.8%) and Raymond Petersen (7.5%) draw support from regional grassroots efforts and local party backing, while Royce White (3.5%) lags amid persistent scrutiny over past financial issues and erratic campaign messaging. Last week's internal polling released by Tafoya's team showed her doubling rivals' support statewide, shifting odds sharply; upcoming early voting and debates could test her lead in battleground areas.

Michele Tafoya commands 78.5% trader consensus to win the Minnesota Republican US Senate primary on August 13, driven by her national name recognition from a broadcasting career and recent momentum from a strong fundraising haul topping $1 million in the latest quarter, plus endorsements from figures like Rep. Jim Jordan. Adam Schwarze (9.8%) and Raymond Petersen (7.5%) draw support from regional grassroots efforts and local party backing, while Royce White (3.5%) lags amid persistent scrutiny over past financial issues and erratic campaign messaging. Last week's internal polling released by Tafoya's team showed her doubling rivals' support statewide, shifting odds sharply; upcoming early voting and debates could test her lead in battleground areas.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michele Tafoya" at 79%, followed by "Adam Schwarze" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is "Michele Tafoya" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Schwarze" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.