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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Minnesota

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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Minnesota

Peggy Flanagan 79%

Angie Craig 16%

Melisa Hortman 1.3%

Melisa López Franzen 1.3%

Polymarket

$18,790 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan 79%

Angie Craig 16%

Melisa Hortman 1.3%

Melisa López Franzen 1.3%

Polymarket

$18,790 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan

$0 Vol.

79%

Angie Craig

$4,126 Vol.

16%

Melisa Hortman

$4,255 Vol.

1%

Melisa López Franzen

$0 Vol.

1%

Keith Ellison

$0 Vol.

1%

Ilhan Omar

$0 Vol.

1%

Betty McCollum

$3,531 Vol.

1%

Steve Simon

$0 Vol.

1%

David Wellstone

$6,878 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Frey

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's commanding 79% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from recent polling leads of double digits over Rep. Angie Craig, reinforced by retiring Sen. Tina Smith's February endorsement and support from former DNC chair Jaime Harrison. Flanagan's progressive profile gains traction amid intraparty clashes on immigration, where Craig's vote for the Laken Riley Act and subsequent regrets have dented her momentum despite superior fundraising. Other statewide figures like House Speaker Melisa Hortman, AG Keith Ellison, and Reps. Ilhan Omar and Betty McCollum trail far behind with under 2% odds each, reflecting limited campaign activity. The August 11 primary follows February precinct caucuses, with trader consensus betting on Flanagan's party establishment edge in this open-seat race.

Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's commanding 79% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from recent polling leads of double digits over Rep. Angie Craig, reinforced by retiring Sen. Tina Smith's February endorsement and support from former DNC chair Jaime Harrison. Flanagan's progressive profile gains traction amid intraparty clashes on immigration, where Craig's vote for the Laken Riley Act and subsequent regrets have dented her momentum despite superior fundraising. Other statewide figures like House Speaker Melisa Hortman, AG Keith Ellison, and Reps. Ilhan Omar and Betty McCollum trail far behind with under 2% odds each, reflecting limited campaign activity. The August 11 primary follows February precinct caucuses, with trader consensus betting on Flanagan's party establishment edge in this open-seat race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's commanding 79% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from recent polling leads of double digits over Rep. Angie Craig, reinforced by retiring Sen. Tina Smith's February endorsement and support from former DNC chair Jaime Harrison. Flanagan's progressive profile gains traction amid intraparty clashes on immigration, where Craig's vote for the Laken Riley Act and subsequent regrets have dented her momentum despite superior fundraising. Other statewide figures like House Speaker Melisa Hortman, AG Keith Ellison, and Reps. Ilhan Omar and Betty McCollum trail far behind with under 2% odds each, reflecting limited campaign activity. The August 11 primary follows February precinct caucuses, with trader consensus betting on Flanagan's party establishment edge in this open-seat race.

Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's commanding 79% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from recent polling leads of double digits over Rep. Angie Craig, reinforced by retiring Sen. Tina Smith's February endorsement and support from former DNC chair Jaime Harrison. Flanagan's progressive profile gains traction amid intraparty clashes on immigration, where Craig's vote for the Laken Riley Act and subsequent regrets have dented her momentum despite superior fundraising. Other statewide figures like House Speaker Melisa Hortman, AG Keith Ellison, and Reps. Ilhan Omar and Betty McCollum trail far behind with under 2% odds each, reflecting limited campaign activity. The August 11 primary follows February precinct caucuses, with trader consensus betting on Flanagan's party establishment edge in this open-seat race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Minnesota" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Peggy Flanagan" at 79%, followed by "Angie Craig" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Minnesota" has generated $18.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Minnesota," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Minnesota" is "Peggy Flanagan" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Angie Craig" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Minnesota" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.