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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

Nirav Shah 34%

Hannah Pingree 24%

Troy Jackson 15%

Shenna Bellows 13.9%

Polymarket

$14,784 Vol.

Nirav Shah 34%

Hannah Pingree 24%

Troy Jackson 15%

Shenna Bellows 13.9%

Polymarket

$14,784 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$5,153 Vol.

34%

Hannah Pingree

$4,163 Vol.

24%

Troy Jackson

$5,468 Vol.

15%

Shenna Bellows

$0 Vol.

10%

Angus King III

$0 Vol.

8%

Jason Cherry

$0 Vol.

1%

Kenneth Pinet

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus reflects a closely contested Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9, with Nirav Shah's 33.5% edge over Hannah Pingree's 31% driven by recent polls showing the former Maine CDC director leading first-choice support at 25-31% amid a fragmented field. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Troy Jackson's campaign had Shah at 31% initially, narrowing to a tie after informed ballots, underscoring undecided voters and ranked-choice voting dynamics that could consolidate behind experienced contenders like Pingree, with her housing and climate priorities, or Jackson, leveraging his Senate president role. No dominant endorsements or incumbency has emerged post-March 16 filing deadline, keeping the race fluid; separation may hinge on forthcoming debates, Gov. Janet Mills' signals, or fundraising surges in this open-seat contest.

Trader consensus reflects a closely contested Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9, with Nirav Shah's 33.5% edge over Hannah Pingree's 31% driven by recent polls showing the former Maine CDC director leading first-choice support at 25-31% amid a fragmented field. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Troy Jackson's campaign had Shah at 31% initially, narrowing to a tie after informed ballots, underscoring undecided voters and ranked-choice voting dynamics that could consolidate behind experienced contenders like Pingree, with her housing and climate priorities, or Jackson, leveraging his Senate president role. No dominant endorsements or incumbency has emerged post-March 16 filing deadline, keeping the race fluid; separation may hinge on forthcoming debates, Gov. Janet Mills' signals, or fundraising surges in this open-seat contest.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus reflects a closely contested Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9, with Nirav Shah's 33.5% edge over Hannah Pingree's 31% driven by recent polls showing the former Maine CDC director leading first-choice support at 25-31% amid a fragmented field. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Troy Jackson's campaign had Shah at 31% initially, narrowing to a tie after informed ballots, underscoring undecided voters and ranked-choice voting dynamics that could consolidate behind experienced contenders like Pingree, with her housing and climate priorities, or Jackson, leveraging his Senate president role. No dominant endorsements or incumbency has emerged post-March 16 filing deadline, keeping the race fluid; separation may hinge on forthcoming debates, Gov. Janet Mills' signals, or fundraising surges in this open-seat contest.

Trader consensus reflects a closely contested Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9, with Nirav Shah's 33.5% edge over Hannah Pingree's 31% driven by recent polls showing the former Maine CDC director leading first-choice support at 25-31% amid a fragmented field. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Troy Jackson's campaign had Shah at 31% initially, narrowing to a tie after informed ballots, underscoring undecided voters and ranked-choice voting dynamics that could consolidate behind experienced contenders like Pingree, with her housing and climate priorities, or Jackson, leveraging his Senate president role. No dominant endorsements or incumbency has emerged post-March 16 filing deadline, keeping the race fluid; separation may hinge on forthcoming debates, Gov. Janet Mills' signals, or fundraising surges in this open-seat contest.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 34%, followed by "Hannah Pingree" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is "Nirav Shah" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hannah Pingree" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.