Trader consensus strongly favors Vicente "Tony" Ada at 72% to win Guam's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, 2026, reflecting his incumbency as state senator and high name recognition from the 2022 lieutenant governor nomination, positioning him ahead of Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. (19%), who paired with former Guam Community College president Mary Okada earlier this year. Marcel Camacho, Douglas Moylan, and Charlie Hermosa trail with under 2% each, limited by lower profiles despite Hermosa's recent independent gubernatorial launch alongside Jeff Pleadwell, which sidesteps the partisan primary. No notable developments, polls, or endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, with focus now on the May 1 candidate filing deadline amid Republican legislative control.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVicente Ada 72%
Frank F. Blas Jr. 19%
Marcel Camacho 1.8%
Charlie Hermosa 1.2%
$21,989 Vol.
$21,989 Vol.
Vicente Ada
72%
Frank F. Blas Jr.
19%
Marcel Camacho
2%
Charlie Hermosa
1%
Douglas Moylan
1%
Vicente Ada 72%
Frank F. Blas Jr. 19%
Marcel Camacho 1.8%
Charlie Hermosa 1.2%
$21,989 Vol.
$21,989 Vol.
Vicente Ada
72%
Frank F. Blas Jr.
19%
Marcel Camacho
2%
Charlie Hermosa
1%
Douglas Moylan
1%
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors Vicente "Tony" Ada at 72% to win Guam's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, 2026, reflecting his incumbency as state senator and high name recognition from the 2022 lieutenant governor nomination, positioning him ahead of Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. (19%), who paired with former Guam Community College president Mary Okada earlier this year. Marcel Camacho, Douglas Moylan, and Charlie Hermosa trail with under 2% each, limited by lower profiles despite Hermosa's recent independent gubernatorial launch alongside Jeff Pleadwell, which sidesteps the partisan primary. No notable developments, polls, or endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, with focus now on the May 1 candidate filing deadline amid Republican legislative control.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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