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Política·Primárias

MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Market icon
Política·Primárias

MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Dan Koh 71%

Kevin Larivee 12.3%

Seth Moulton 11.9%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh 71%

Kevin Larivee 12.3%

Seth Moulton 11.9%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh

$3,520 Vol.

71%

Kevin Larivee

$1,228 Vol.

12%

Seth Moulton

$0 Vol.

12%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$0 Vol.

5%

Tram Nguyen

$0 Vol.

5%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$0 Vol.

4%

John Beccia

$0 Vol.

3%

Dominick Pangallo

$0 Vol.

3%

Rick Jakious

$2,286 Vol.

3%

Rachel Creemers

$0 Vol.

2%

Mariah Lancaster

$0 Vol.

13%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,341 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1 stems from incumbent Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate challenge against Ed Markey, drawing nine candidates and positioning Dan Koh as trader consensus favorite at 74% implied probability. Koh's lead reflects his fundraising dominance—over $300,000 via ActBlue in February alone, outpacing rivals—high-profile endorsements from Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg, and milestone as first to secure ballot access through the March 26 Lynn caucus. Attorney Kevin Larivee trails at 25% with FEC filings and local ties, while Moulton lingers at 12% despite slim reelection odds; further caucuses and Q1 reports may refine battleground dynamics in this crowded field.

The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1 stems from incumbent Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate challenge against Ed Markey, drawing nine candidates and positioning Dan Koh as trader consensus favorite at 74% implied probability. Koh's lead reflects his fundraising dominance—over $300,000 via ActBlue in February alone, outpacing rivals—high-profile endorsements from Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg, and milestone as first to secure ballot access through the March 26 Lynn caucus. Attorney Kevin Larivee trails at 25% with FEC filings and local ties, while Moulton lingers at 12% despite slim reelection odds; further caucuses and Q1 reports may refine battleground dynamics in this crowded field.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1 stems from incumbent Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate challenge against Ed Markey, drawing nine candidates and positioning Dan Koh as trader consensus favorite at 74% implied probability. Koh's lead reflects his fundraising dominance—over $300,000 via ActBlue in February alone, outpacing rivals—high-profile endorsements from Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg, and milestone as first to secure ballot access through the March 26 Lynn caucus. Attorney Kevin Larivee trails at 25% with FEC filings and local ties, while Moulton lingers at 12% despite slim reelection odds; further caucuses and Q1 reports may refine battleground dynamics in this crowded field.

The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1 stems from incumbent Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate challenge against Ed Markey, drawing nine candidates and positioning Dan Koh as trader consensus favorite at 74% implied probability. Koh's lead reflects his fundraising dominance—over $300,000 via ActBlue in February alone, outpacing rivals—high-profile endorsements from Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg, and milestone as first to secure ballot access through the March 26 Lynn caucus. Attorney Kevin Larivee trails at 25% with FEC filings and local ties, while Moulton lingers at 12% despite slim reelection odds; further caucuses and Q1 reports may refine battleground dynamics in this crowded field.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 71%, followed by "Mariah Lancaster" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Dan Koh" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mariah Lancaster" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.